Tuesday, June 06, 2006

Election Night Open Thread

You can check for results at the following sites:

San Joaquin County Registrar of Voters

Santa Clara County Registrar of Voters

Contra Costa County Registrar of Voters

Last, but not least is the Alameda County Registrar of Voters. They have the spiffiest website of the bunch, allowing observers to customize their return-watching. Here’s the Democratic race and the Republican race.

Break out your calculators and get ready to settle in for a long night. As you are no doubt aware by now, the Alameda County Registrar’s office is expected to be late with their returns due to a last-minute decision to scrap their electronic voting system and utilize paper ballots. They expect to be manually counting paper ballots all night and well into tomorrow.

Update 9:15 by Matt:

CA-11 All Counties from the Secretary of State's Website:

Steve Filson...4,235 (28.7%)
Steve Thomas...2,775 (18.8%)
Jerry McNerney..7,725 (52.5%)

Tom Benigno...1,322 (6.4%)
Pete McCloskey...6,428 (31.2%)
Richard Pombo...12,867 (62.4%)



Blogger Dan Spomer said...

McCloskey 52%

If that happens, I'm buying the beer. Of course, I'd have to fly down to do that, but I will!

I guess in the end, you have to have faith that good things will happen when good people get involved...

Everyone who contributes here has done one heck of a job, regardless of the outcome. Thank you, all.

8:00 PM, June 06, 2006  
Blogger kid oakland said...

Echo that....there's a lotta "Saying NO to Pombo" going on out there!

9:13 PM, June 06, 2006  
Blogger Dan Spomer said...

I was standing on my deck looking out over the ocean tonight, and thought yet again how much power Pombo wields over my little tiny speck of this spinning, blue planet.

Man, I hope this is the day. I have screamed and warned about this guy for over five years, and I don't even live in his district.

If he loses, I promise the celebration will be heard far and wide. If he wins, I promise that I'm digging in for a long, bitter fight.

Best to all of you in CA-11, and I pray your collective wisdom allows you to realize just how far this guy's tentacles reach. God, I pray that you know what you're doing down there.

Signing off from a tiny, far off, unknown Washington town...

9:58 PM, June 06, 2006  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Not even close, folks. And looks like the liberal clumsy retard will take the Dem primary. Get ready for a Pombo landslide in November.

10:58 PM, June 06, 2006  
Blogger MorganHill Yahoo said...

Looks like some sour grapes are being consumed by the Pomboists, who barely got 35% pf the total votes cast today. I don't see any Pombo landslide in the fall..You think he's going to get the 31% of the McCloskey voters..or the 28% of the Filsonites..or the 18% of the Steve Thomas voters..??? Those folks will vote for the American patriot Jerry McNerney, of course, or else simply sit home..Just in raw vote totals tonight your liberal clumsy retard and his two Demo challengers outpolled the scandal-ridden arrogant idiot. so the votes in play are the McCloskey voters..

11:39 PM, June 06, 2006  
Blogger Jason said...

I only canvassed one day in the district, but it sure seems like the "anyone but Pombo" contingent is surprisingly large.

It is quite possible, when all is said and done, that (as someone else said to me) Steve Filson may indeed have been the best thing that ever happened to Jerry McNerney. He got him into fighting shape to take on Pombo in November.

As of 1:14 am:

Stephen Nigel Filson 7,976 29.2
Stevan Thomas 4,996 18.2
Jerry McNerney 14,377 52.6

Thomas (Tom) A. Benigno 2,083 5.8
Paul N. "Pete" Mc Closkey, Jr. 11,314 31.6
Richard W. Pombo 22,405 62.6

1:24 AM, June 07, 2006  
Anonymous JohnMac said...

Some anonymous troll said ...the liberal clumsy retard... ostensibly in reference to Jerry McNerney. Of all the appelations that might be applied to him, 'retard' is not one. Can't you do better than that? If that is the worst of it, I think Jerry will have no problems in November. Unless... this is a foreshadowing of some of the slinging in store for him... baseless name calling because that is all you got... which is another scary thought.

You may think whatever you want about him, but apparently the majority of voters believe he's the one to Say No To Pombo. And that's the only opinion that counts.

3:52 AM, June 07, 2006  
Blogger Dan Spomer said...

Dang it. I stand in awe of the collective idiocy that has permeated the Republican populace. Ah, well... thanks, Pete, for giving it a good run and putting the magnifying glass on Pombo.

And regardless of who you Dems wanted, McNerney is the man. I can't say I'm surprised by those results.

Going forward from here, I'm going to support him 100%, and expect to attend a victory party in November!

6:13 AM, June 07, 2006  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Good luck, folks! Bang your heads against the wall~!

Primary forecasts November wins for California House incumbents

Associated Press

LOS ANGELES - Congressional corruption scandals dogged Republican Reps. John Doolittle and Richard Pombo for months. But Doolittle, Pombo and other California House incumbents beat back their primary challengers by comfortable margins as voter unrest failed to translate into Election Day upsets.

In a postelection interview Wednesday, Doolittle contended the outcomes showed voters were paying little heed to ethics attacks. Ethics also were center-stage in the San Diego race where Republican Brian Bilbray beat Democrat Francine Busby to replace imprisoned ex-Rep. Randy "Duke" Cunningham.

"That approach didn't defeat Bilbray and it didn't defeat Pombo and it didn't defeat me, so they've got sort of a recipe for failure here," said Doolittle. "Do they think that just doing the same thing in November is going to produce the result they want? For my part I'm going to focus on my record.

"I think people were able to separate the facts from the untruths and make a decision," he said.

Doolittle, R-Rocklin, whose close friendship with disgraced lobbyist Jack Abramoff brought unwanted scrutiny, easily defeated Auburn Mayor Mike Holmes 67 percent to 33 percent.

Doolittle, 55, had denied wrongdoing amid reports that his ties with Abramoff had drawn the attention of federal investigators. In November he'll face Democrat Charlie Brown, a retired Air Force officer and first-time candidate who beat Lisa Rea and Mike Hamersley with 46 percent of the vote. Rea had 33 percent and Hamersley 20 percent.

Brown promised a fight and pledged to try to keep questions about Doolittle's record up front. But Doolittle's district is among the most heavily Republican in the state and he's outraised Brown by a wide margin.

"My strategy is the same as it was a year ago. It is to defeat John Doolittle and give the voters in the district a representative that represents them directly and doesn't tell them they have to hire a lobbyist like John Doolittle does," said Brown, 56.

Along with the Bilbray-Busby contest, Doolittle's and Pombo's races were being watched as House Republicans looked for signs their majority could be threatened in November. Voters in those Republican-leaning districts showed some discontent but not enough to seriously threaten entrenched incumbents.

The outcomes leave the incumbents headed for likely victory in November as California's 53 House districts - drawn to create safe seats for 33 Democrats and 20 Republicans - produced the predictable results.

"Incumbents did very well, including those who had a modicum of opposition," said GOP analyst Allan Hoffenblum, whose nonpartisan California Target Book tracks races in the states. "The message from California and these nicely gerrymandered districts is that the voters didn't send any message related to the national races in November."

Pombo, R-Tracy, the aggressively conservative chairman of the House Resources Committee, beat moderate former Rep. Pete McCloskey 62 percent to 32 percent.

McCloskey got high-spending help from environmental groups accusing Pombo of pushing policies that hurt the environment and helped his donors. Pombo strongly denied any wrongdoing and gave away about $7,000 he got directly from Abramoff.

"I'm happy with the results. I won," Pombo said in an interview Wednesday. "They knew that the way my district is configured, it's going to be very, very difficult for them to win in November so the outside groups just poured money in there."

Now Pombo, 45, will face the opponent the national Democratic Party didn't want - wind energy engineer Jerry McNerney.

McNerney, who lost to Pombo in 2004, easily beat United Airlines pilot Steve Filson for the Democratic nomination. Filson was backed by top House Democrats, but McNerney had the grassroots support and won 53 percent to 29 percent.

McNerney, 54, contended Pombo emerged vulnerable for November.

"The fact is that he had a lot more money than McCloskey and he should have taken 65 to 70 percent of the vote and he hasn't, so this is a good thing for us," McNerney said.

In a Southern California Democratic primary, anti-war liberal Marcy Winograd generated political buzz and a respectable showing but fell short with a challenge to hawkish incumbent Jane Harman of Venice. Harman won with 62 percent of the vote while Winograd had 38 percent.

4:44 PM, June 07, 2006  
Blogger Matt said...

Allan Hoffenblum now:

"Incumbents did very well, including those who had a modicum of opposition," said GOP analyst Allan Hoffenblum, whose nonpartisan California Target Book tracks races in the states. "The message from California and these nicely gerrymandered districts is that the voters didn't send any message related to the national races in November."

Allen Hoffenblum when McCloskey entered the race:

YOUNG: Hoffenblum says if McCloskey gets as much as 30 percent of the primary vote, it's a sign that Republicans are unhappy and that Pombo could be in trouble.

Larry Sabato when McCloskey entered the race:

Political scientist Larry Sabato summarizes Pombo's peril: "Personally, I'd look at anything less than a two-to-one win (by Pombo) as a clear signal."

What were those results again?

Pombo 62.3%
McCloskey 32.0%

Oh yeah, don't know why anyone would think this was a sign that Pombo's in trouble.

4:57 PM, June 07, 2006  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Alan is a former Republican strategist and an old time political hack, he is just taking marching orders so he sell more of the Target Book he publishes. Republican leaders could hurt his business if he didn't tow the party line.

Cost per vote - per Steve Thomas
(see Pombo's)
Filson $30.40 each for 28.5%
Thomas $3.51 each for 18.9%
McNerney $8.55 for 52.6%

Benigno $1.87 for 5.7%
McCloskey $21.41 for 32%
Pombo $34.37 for 62.3%

10:49 PM, June 07, 2006  

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