Did Filson Freep Daily Kos?

For the last post of the year, I think it’s important to look at a recent development that caught my eye and has the potential to shape the race in the coming year. On December 21, Steve Filson posted a diary without much fanfare on Daily Kos. The diary itself was solid if not exceptional, but I don’t really want to talk about it. What really interests me more is the process of Filson posting on Daily Kos, especially in terms of what happened in the comment section.

You can read the diary here. Regardless of the content of the post, there are a couple of things about how Filson posted the diary that virtually doomed it to obscurity. First, Filson posted using the user name Fido Dem, which does not obviously label him a congressional candidate. Second, Filson titled his diary “Steve Filson for Congress,” which leaves out the state (California), the district (CA-11), and the opponent (Richard Pombo). If he had created a user name like FilsonforCongress and titled the diary “Why I’m Taking on Richard Pombo (CA-11),” I’m sure more people would have read it. Lastly, Filson tagged the diary poorly (something I have since tried to correct). For example, instead of tagging the diary with CA-11, which is the usual way on Daily Kos to abbreviate the district, Filson tagged the diary “CA-06” presumably meaning California 2006 election. I suspect that this tag will result in a number of people coming to the diary expecting to see Filson announcing his entry into the contested primary between Lynn Woolsey and Joe Nation. Still, more than anything, Filson’s missteps suggest to me that Filson is incredibly unfamiliar with the cultural norms of Daily Kos, which makes sense give his recent User ID (73385).

In some ways, it’s almost a good thing that his diary did not get noticed because Filson failed to do the one cardinal thing politicians must do on blogs like Daily Kos: respond to comments. Blogs allow for two-way communication, so it’s considered rude for politicians come to blogs, post something, and disappear without engaging in any sort of conversation. On the other hand, I suspect that Filson encouraged at least a couple of his supporters to comment on the diary after a couple of McNerney supporters left pro-McNerney comments. Although I do not have conclusive proof, it very much looked like Filson had some of his supporters freep the diary. And seeing this kind of irritated me.

If you look at the comments to Filson's diary, you see two pro-Filson comments left long after the diary was posted. First, at approximately 12:20 AM on 12/23, Buffyfan (User ID 74466) said:

I am not from California but any American who cares about the environment or ethics should be watching this race. I am looking forward to seeing you unseat Pombo.

Next, at approximately 4:30 PM on 12/23, Jbmendel (User ID 74461) posted the following comment (responding to what Filson wrote in his diary about trust):

I'll trust you, Mr. Filson. We need more strong candidates like yourself in California and across the country. I'm very excited about your candidacy.

All respect for Mr. McNerney, the "but we were here first!" mentality evinced by his supporters is frankly very unbecoming. In a hard district like yours, there's only one relevant question: "Can you win?"

I trust that you can.

Color me skeptical, but it seems incredibly unlikely that two new users (with User IDs five numbers apart no less) would find this one diary, and only this one diary, to comment on. The sheer number of intervening diaries (approximately three and five hundred respectively) between when the diary was posted and when they commented on it virtually ensures that they did not just happen upon the diary. Furthermore, it seems odd to me that these two users commented only on the one diary “Steve Filson for Congress” and no other. Even now there has been no other activity from Buffyfan or Jbmendel outside of the this diary. And look at how Jbmendel responded to me when I replied to his initial comment:

Me:

Your half right (none / 0)
You're right that "we were here first" is not a good argument. What you miss is that "we were here first" is not what McNerney supporters are saying.

Every single McNerney supporter I have spoken to believes that Jerry McNerney demonstrated significant moral courage by running against Pombo in 2004. He ran without any significant support from the Democratic Party establishment. He paid $10,000 out of his own pocket (a significant sum for a man of his means) for a recount just to get on the ballot. And he did so because he took a principled stand against giving Richard Pombo a free pass.

Moreover, Jerry McNerney did this in a district that had been thirsting for a committed, passionate Democrat who wasn't afraid to stand up and fight for Democratic beliefs.

Regardless of whether you find this motivating or not, you need to understand that the loyal cadre of McNerney supporters back McNerney so strongly because they absolutely believe in his character. He championed them when nobody else would. This is much different than "we were here first."

Him:

Where Democrats Agree (none / 0)
We agree on more than we disagree. My remark was in response to the previous comments and some of the other blogs out there which have pre-emptively begun disparaging Mr. Filson. That's not the way Democrats should do things.

I've read all about Mr. McNerney's run in 2004, and really do have great respect for the man. The numbers don't lie, though. He has a small group of very dedicated supporters, and none of the widespread support needed to win in a hard district.

I'm also familiar with Mr. Filson. He's an Eagle Scout, a former Naval pilot, and an inspiring Democrat. In just a few months he has won incredible amounts of support from both inside and outside the district. He has the people, he has the funding, and he has the saavy he needs to win in November.

We can all agree on the need for a lively primary. We can agree that beating Pombo is going to take everything we've got. And we can agree that come election day, taking back the House is the only yardstick for success.

I'm proud to support Steve Filson.

Maybe it’s just me, but I’m a bit dubious that Filson just happened to have such an articulate supporter who just stumbled onto his diary and left a bunch of brute assertions about Filson and the race without bothering to back any of them up with--you know--facts, hyperlinks, quotes, or other things of the sort. I’m also particularly skeptical about Jbmendel describing Filson as “inspiring,” especially since Filson’s message up to this point has basically been “Vote for me because I can raise more money and am more electable than the other guy.” Maybe I’m just too dyspeptic to be easily inspired by such talk.

In any event, not content to stop at this diary, Jbmendel then went over to OurCongress.org to write another (and I would say, somewhat disingenuous) pro-Filson piece. Incidentally, a user named CAL11 Voter (User ID 72950) also posted pro-Filson comments in the same places as Jbmendel, although it’s possible that CAL11 Voter simply googled “jbmendel” after reading the comments on dkos and found the Our Congress entry that way.

On one level, I think it’s smart for Filson to get his supporters to provide him some cover when he posted on Daily Kos. But on another level, I’m disappointed that it looks like he got people to sign up on Daily Kos specifically to provide him that cover. These are not genuine members of the community. And the fact that it looks so transparently like he did this makes me feel like he’s being overly manipulative, which is ironic since Filson’s diary includes a bit about how we ought to trust him. Furthermore, almost everything of substance that was said about Filson could have been said more credibly by Filson himself.

Maybe I’m being too sensitive to this (or maybe too paranoid). What do you guys think?

Tags: CA-11, Richard Pombo, Steve Filson, Jerry McNerney, Daily Kos, Our Congress, freepers, astroturf

2 + 2 = 4? Well, Kind Of

I don’t think it’s just me; I think it’s a facet of human nature. But when I’m introduced to new information, I try to assimilate it into a narrative that makes sense to me. When I meet people for the first time, I subconsciously take the things they tell me about themselves and combine that with my impressions to form images of these people and the lives they lead. Now, are these images always correct? Probably not. Can people give me misleading information that leads me to form false conclusions? Inevitably. But nevertheless, that’s the way my brain functions, and I suspect that I’m not alone.

That’s why I was so surprised to recently hear a friend talking about Steve Filson’s divorce. You see, I’d read the “Biography” section of his website, the one where he says, “My wife Mary and I have four children and recently our first grandchild has joined the family.” And I attended the meeting of the San Ramon Valley Democratic Club back in October, when Filson spent quite a bit of time talking about his background; I heard him describe his family life. In his account of the evening, VPO gave us this description: “Moved to Danville in 1978, been a Tri-valley resident since then, kids went to UCal Berkeley, he went to church and attended soccer games -- the whole suburban family bit.”

Now, maybe I’m making something out of nothing here; it wouldn’t be the first time I’ve ever done that. But it just seems strange to me that, in this day and age, Filson wouldn’t just be straightforward and say something in his “Biography” like, “My wife Mary and I each have two children from previous marriages, and recently my/her first grandchild has joined the family.” That, at least to me, would have been a lot more acceptable than the careful parsing of “My wife Mary and I have four children and recently our first grandchild has joined the family.” Because, you see, I’m left feeling like I was manipulated, like Mr. Filson purposely tried to create a false image of a happy nuclear family that he thought would be somehow more palatable than the reality of a blended family.

The notion of honesty is going to play a big role in this election. And engaging in subterfuge, however irrelevant it may be, is not a really great way to establish yourself as a man of integrity.

Tags: CA-11, Richard Pombo, Steve Filson, biography, honesty, integrity

If You Don't Build It, They Can't Come

There’s a number that I just can’t get out of my head. $22 million. You see, that’s the amount of federal transportation funds that Richard Pombo earmarked for his two pet projects, brand-spanking-new freeways that connect Tracy to Brentwood in the north and to San Jose in the south. Coincidentally, Pombo and his family own agricultural land along both proposed routes that has significantly increased in value because of its potential to turn into valuable commercial freeway frontage. Now, of course, the $22 million only covers the costs of “feasibility studies”; the actual price tag for constructing these freeways would be well over $1 billion, which is why many in the area refer to them as “Pombo’s Folly.”

In the meantime, there’s Manteca. If you look at a map, you’ll see that Manteca is a natural hub, with its prime location immediately east of the Interstate 5/205/580 confluence. Interstate 5 runs north/south along the western edge of town; Highway 99 runs north/south on the eastern edge of town; Highway 120 runs directly through town on an east/west axis.

Not unsurprisingly, Manteca has experienced the same exponential growth as many other of the San Joaquin Valley cities in CD-11. Like those other cities, Manteca struggles with the fact that there are nowhere near enough local jobs to employ its residents. The upshots of that reality are high unemployment and a killer commute across the Altamont Pass. Now, clearly the widening of I-205 will ease the congestion somewhat, but it is only a palliative, not a long-term solution to the problem. The answer is creating jobs in the San Joaquin Valley.

And that’s exactly what the locals in Manteca are trying to do. Plans are on the boards for a host of business parks. Most of these centers will capitalize on Manteca’s location by focusing on the transport of goods: they will be light industrial facilities, warehouses, and distribution centers. But also underway is a development that is modeled after the Hacienda Business Park in Pleasanton. The Tara Business Park project would cover 485 acres with a facility that would ultimately provide an estimated 10,000 to 15,000 white collar jobs in Manteca. The adjacent Austin Road Business Park would provide distribution and light industrial operations. If you look at this map, you will see a crazy starburst shape that represents the outer parameters of a 15-minute drive time to these proposed employment centers; you’ll notice that residents of Stockton, Ripon, Tracy, Escalon and (obviously) Manteca are all located within its confines, as well as Lathrop and Modesto from outside CD-11.

Sounds terrific, doesn’t it? So what’s the problem? Freeway interchanges. You see, the facilities to house the businesses can’t be built until there’s a way to get to them. And what’s preventing Manteca from getting its interchanges? No money to pay for them.

Now, here’s where the story gets a little weird. I’ve been following this issue in the Manteca Bulletin, a newspaper that has a serious crush on Congressman Richard Pombo. They’re still gushing over the fact that six years ago, Pombo obtained $6 million of the $13 million required to improve one interchange; and in the most recent $286 billion transportation bill, Pombo (who sits on the powerful House Transportation Committee) earmarked $4 million for the new interchange that would serve the Tara Business Park and Austin Road Business Park. Apparently, Pombo’s largess in providing this funding took the locals in Manteca by surprise. “Manteca leaders never officially requested the money for the project. They believed Pombo’s stance against pork barrel projects was all inclusive.”

But $4 million is just a fraction of the overall cost of building the new interchange. The total cost? $22 million. According to the Manteca Bulletin, “The city has yet to determine how to finance the $22 million construction tab.”

Gee, I know somebody who could have provided them with $22 million. Too bad for them he doesn’t own land in Manteca.

Tags: CA-11, Richard Pombo, Manteca, San Joaquin Valley, job creation, Tara Business Park, Austin Road Business Park, freeway interchanges, I-205, Altamont Pass, traffic

Pombo coming home to work the farm?

Sunday's Stockton Record had a nicely crafted article by Reed Fujii about the coming prostpects for farm labor in the San Joaquin Valley. The local quotes get right to the point. There is a great deal of concern about possible future shortages and the effect that the Sensenbrenner Immigration bill will have.

Mark Bacchetti, a Tracy grower and vegetable packer, said currently he's having no problem finding workers to pack sweet corn coming from southern growing regions.

"This season was fine," he said, but predicted, "I think it's going to be (a problem) in the next few years unless they do something."

Lodi grape grower Bob Lauchland said he saw signs of a tight labor market during the fall harvest.

"Some workers left the area for other crops and the potential for higher wages," he said in an e-mail. "I understand many came back to harvest grapes when prospects for other crops declined."

Lauchland, president of the Lodi District Grape Growers Association, also expressed concern about the future labor supply, referring in particular to the border security bill approved Dec. 16 by the U.S. House of Representatives that would increase penalties for employing illegal immigrantsand make illegal immigration a federal crime, threatening an important source of farm workers.

"A perfect example is the proposed immigration reform bill, which seems to place the burden of policing our borders upon employers," he said. "With thin margins, the threat of a severe fine for employing a person who provides phony documentation can be the final straw that takes a labor contractor out of business and takes labor resources away from growers."

At this point, you would think that a Congressman who makes his family ranch part of his campaign image and who has strong support from Big Agriculture would be looking to find the proper fix to this problem. After all, his party's president is asking for both stronger border enforcement AND a guest worker program. But not Mr. Pombo. He came straight out in support of the Sensenbrenner bill and made no strong move for any guest worker provisions. Even the Record noted this, though they allow Pombo an out.

After voting to send the bill, HR 1147, onto the U.S. Senate, Pombo said, "Today we strengthened our commitment to our citizens. We've taken the necessary steps to ensure protection from the daily threats of terrorists."

In an e-mail last week, Pombo said he expected additional legislation to address the labor issue:

"This is a first step in the right direction, and I expect more proposals, including temporary worker provisions, will come up next year."

Below is a partial list of Pombo's Agricultural Supporters. Did they really expect him to vote this way? As it stands, there is no out and were the Sensenbrenner bill to pass the Senate, farm labor will be scarce and a lot more expensive. Even if you are not a farmer, you care, because that expense will show up in the grocery store for us all.

American Meat Institute PAC
Blue Diamond Growers PAC
California Association of Winegrape Growers PAC
California Canning Peach Association PAC
California Dairies Federal PAC
Great Lakes Sugarbeet Growers PAC
Ice Cream, Milk and Cheese PAC
Land'o'Lakes Inc. PAC
Minn-Dak Farmers Cooperative PAC
National Council of Farmers Cooperatives/COOP PAC
Sun-maid Growers of California PAC
Sunkist Growers Inc. PAC
United Egg Association EGGPAC
Western Peanut Growers PAC
Western United Dairymen PAC
Wine Institute PAC
Wine America PAC

McCloskey Closer to Entering Race

This is just a quick update on the possible Republican challenge to Richard Pombo. Former Congressman Pete McCloskey has been actively recruiting Mark Connolly, a Republican lawyer from Tracy, to run against Pombo in the June primary. But yesterday,Lisa Vorderbrueggen of the Contra Costa Times broke the story that Connolly, who has seemed reluctant to enter the fray, finally made the decision that he will not run because he feels that his pet project, Measure A to limit growth in Tracy, will be coming under fire in the near future and he wants to be able to devote his full time and energy to defending the initiative.

This leaves McCloskey without a Republican candidate willing to face Pombo. McCloskey has repeatedly said that if he can’t find a satisfactory candidate, he will run himself. With Connolly bowing out, McCloskey has extended his search window to the end of January. But the fact that he is now house-shopping in Lodi suggests that McCloskey is seriously preparing to make the run himself.

Nick Juliano has a follow-up piece posted in today's Tracy Press.

Tags: CA-11, Richard Pombo, Pete McCloskey

FBI Probing Pombo-Abramoff Connection

I’m running off to the airport right now, but before I left I wanted to direct your attention to a very promising development.  It looks like the FBI has opened a probe into Richard Pombo’s efforts on behalf of the Mashpee Wampanoag tribe, who are former clients of uber-corrupt lobbyist Jack Abramoff.  The L.A. Times has the story (hat tip: JaninSanFran):  

The Mashpee Wampanoags, famed for greeting the Pilgrims at Plymouth, will be named a nationally recognized tribe — a designation they sought for 30 years so that they could benefit from federal aid programs.

Jack Abramoff, the lobbyist embroiled in a Washington corruption scandal, and his firm championed the Indians' cause and pocketed tens of thousands of dollars in tribal money.

And Rep. Richard W. Pombo (R-Tracy), chairman of the influential House Resources Committee, landed a lucrative source of political donations: the small group of Native Americans whose ancestral lands are about as far from his Northern California district as one can get in the United States.

The trifecta of money, politics and power that quietly came together over the last several years has attracted the attention of a federal law enforcement task force investigating the burgeoning Abramoff scandal.

FBI officials have visited the tribal offices here to obtain financial documents, and other task force investigators in Washington are reviewing what role political leaders and others played in the Mashpee's success.

Where the investigation will lead is unknown. But several people close to Abramoff have pleaded guilty in other aspects of the wide-ranging scandal. And in recent days, several Capitol Hill lawmakers, including Pombo, have returned donations from Abramoff or turned the money over to charity.

Officials do know that the flow of cash from the Mashpee to Abramoff and Pombo is a textbook example of the kind of cases of alleged influence-buying that the task force is assembling.

But what investigators want to determine is whether the Mashpee episode crossed the line into criminal behavior, as other Abramoff ventures allegedly did.

Read the rest of the article.

[Ed note: Those of us at Say No to Pombo are busy fighting the War on Christmas.  I think I’ve already lost the Battle of the Bulge this year, but I’m still hoping that I’ll be more able to fend off a post-New Year hangover.  In any event, the posting volume is going to be low through the end of the year.  And the posts that I put up are probably going to be much less analytical than typical.  ]

Pombo Deemed "Most Anti-Conservation" Member of Congress

From time to time I’ve called Richard Pombo “the Black Knight of American Environmental Policy.” It’s not just Pombo’s abysmal record on environmental and conservation issues that gives me cause to fault him. Pombo does not simply fail to appreciate the importance of conservation, he seems ideologically opposed to it. That is, he is not simply a contingent anti-conservationist, he’s a dedicated and self-conscious one. Richard Pombo’s Holy Grail is the complete evisceration of all of the important environmental laws that have preserved America’s natural patrimony for generations, and he works towards that goal with a single-mindedness that is as stunning as it is saddening.

Today, BushGreenwatch, a project of Environmental Media Services and Moveon.org, put out an article, copied in full below, labeling Pombo the “most anti-conservation member of Congress.” It’s good to see other important groups come to the same conclusion about Pombo. Now let’s hope that they will back up the rhetoric with time and money.

(Speaking of money, remember that the end year is coming, which means FEC reports will be filed very soon. Most political analysts look at the FEC reports to judge candidate viability, so be sure to give whatever money you can to your favorite candidates before the end of the year. There will not be another filing deadline until the end of March, which means that the next three months of news stories will refer to the fundraising numbers of candidates as of the end of the year. So if you want to ensure your candidate (for almost any race whatsoever) looks strong, it’s important to give something before the filing deadline.)

Here’s the article from BushGreenwatch. Thanks to readers ABea and Nathan Rudy for sending me the link.

Pombo Deemed "Most Anti-Conservation" Member of Congress

When it comes to environmental matters, one of the busiestmembers of Congress this year has been Representative RichardPombo (R-CA), chair of the House Resources Committee.

Unfortunately, say environmentalists, Rep. Pombo's busy-ness hasall been aimed, once again, at undermining or actuallyeviscerating long-established laws that protect America'snatural resources. As Defenders of Wildlife President RodgerSchlickeisen put it last month in an interview with the OaklandTribune, Rep. Pombo is "the most anti-conservation congressmanof the 535 in Congress." [1]

And while Mr. Pombo's wide-ranging agenda achieved only partialsuccess this year (one key initiative fell apart in the face ofpublic outrage), he has made it clear that he will be right backat it when Congress reconvenes in 2006.

That means, among other things, that the Endangered Species Act(ESA), a bedrock of the entire structure of environmentalprotection, is itself endangered once more --the result of 12successive attacks on the law since Pombo was first elected 13years ago. Indeed, this year Pombo finally achieved hiscareer-long goal of passing a revised ESA in the House. The votewas 229-193.

Pombo's re-write would require the government (i.e. taxpayers)to compensate property owners who claim their plans fordeveloping their property are being blocked by requirements ofthe ESA. "What Pombo really wants to protect," said the San JoseMercury News, "is his excessive notion of property-ownerrights." Pombo's ESA, said the editorial, is "an open invitationto dream up developments and get bought out of them atexorbitant prices by taxpayers." [2]

The next round in the battle over the ESA will take place in theSenate, where Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID), has introduced a clone ofthe Pombo bill (S. 2110). The Crapo version would waivefundamental habitat protections, indefinitely delay listing ofendangered species, give industry interests control over therecovery planning process, undermine ESA enforcement, and--as inPombo--compel taxpayers to pay landowners for alleged losses.

The ESA, however, has by no means been Pombo's only priority.This year Pombo also proposed selling federal lands, includinglands in and around national parks--along with the underlyingmineral rights--to mining and timber companies. It would haveallowed anyone to stake a claim and purchase the land, evenwithout proving it contained minerals, and develop into anythingthey wanted, from condos to ski chalets or a mall. A study bythe Environmental Working Group found that this couldpotentially add up to 6 million acres of publicly owned land.

Outrage at the giveaway was so great that Pombo and hiscolleague, Rep. Jim Gibbons (R-Nev.), withdrew the plan. But,warned Gibbons, he will revisit the issue next year.

Not stopping there, Rep. Pombo has also proposed building asix-lane, cars-only, 23-mile freeway in California's CentralValley which would ignore a natural mountain pass and insteadrun straight up Mount Diablo and down the other side--at a costof $10 billion. Despite a storm of regional opposition, Pomboobtained a $7.6 million earmark in last August's transportationbill to study his project.

Critics point out that the new freeway would be just miles froma 205-acre ranch owned by Pombo and his family. Pombo lists thevalue of his share of the ranch at between $250,001 and$500,000. Land speculation near the proposed highway hasalready begun.

It is these and other actions, to be reported in a futurearticle, that earned Rep. Pombo the designation of being chosenby the watchdog group , as one of the 13 most corrupt members of Congress.[3]

###
SOURCES:

[1] "Some Say Pombo is 'Out of Step With Americans'," OaklandTribune, Nov. 8, 2005.

[2] "Earth Needs Protection From Pombo," San Jose Mercury News,Nov. 2, 2005.

[3] Beyond Delay, Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics inWashington.

Richard Pombo Once Again Leaves His District Stranded

Recently, I was talking to someone with close ties to one of Richard Pombo’s Democratic challengers. When I started railing on Pombo’s approach to San Joaquin County’s transportation problems, my acquaintance said, “Oh, no, we can’t go after Pombo on widening Interstate 205 any more – that project is happening.” Well, not so fast there, Skippy.

First, there’s something you need to understand about Richard Pombo. When he initially ran for Congress in 1992, one of the issues he ran on was cutting pork-barrel spending in Washington. True to his mission, throughout his Congressional career Pombo has assiduously avoided seeking federal funding for projects in his district. According to a report issued this year by the Great Valley Center, in 2003 the national average of per capita federal spending was $6,923. In California, per capita federal spending was 89.6% of the national average at $6,196. In the Northern San Joaquin Valley, per capita spending topped out at 61.2% of the national average, a paltry $4,228. So it’s important to realize that in the person of Richard Pombo, CD-11 has a representative who is not just lazy or incompetent; he’s ideologically opposed to federal government funding of local projects.

Now, you won’t find too many people in America who approve of pork-barrel spending. But the definition of “pork-barrel spending” has always been pretty subjective. Like the Supreme Court with pornography, however, most of us know it when we see it. For instance, Ted Stevens’s $442 million Alaskan “bridge to nowhere” – definitely pork. On the other hand, $92 million to widen a freeway that is the most congested in the state and second-most congested in the nation, which has, for the last decade, carried twice as many cars as it was designed to accommodate, leaving tens of thousands of commuters in hours-long traffic jams –- um, not so much pork. [Correction: It was actually a tag-team of Sen. Ted Stevens and Rep. Don Young who obtained the Alaskan funding, and, in all fairness, the $442 million covered one "bridge to nowhere" and the down payment for a second, even more expensive, "bridge to nowhere."]

Pombo, though, has stubbornly refused to address the subject of widening I-205, the main thoroughfare connecting the San Joaquin Valley to the Bay Area. He has instead promoted construction of a brand new route connecting Tracy to Santa Clara County and, secondarily, another brand new route to the north, connecting Tracy to Brentwood. Of course, it will come as no surprise to veteran Pombo-watchers that his family owns large tracts of agricultural land along these proposed freeways that would suddenly become prime commercial property if these routes were developed. Remember how I said that the definition of pork was subjective? Apparently, Richard Pombo sees nothing wrong with spending $21.6 million on feasibility studies for ill-conceived transportation projects that enhance the value of his family’s real estate holdings. But a transportation project that actually serves the needs of his constituents and improves their daily lives? Bah!

So, then, how is it that the I-205 project is proceeding? Well, chalk it up to the power of the grass-roots. A gentleman by the name of Ort Lofthus, an 80-year-old retired radio station owner who has a long history as an ombudsman for transportation improvements in Stockton, started working with local volunteers, chambers of commerce representing virtually every town in San Joaquin County, and a team of current and retired State legislators. Under the auspices of Lofthus’s organization 205 Now, this group of concerned citizens posted billboards along San Joaquin County highways, gathered petitions, and supplied busloads of supporters at key meetings; meanwhile, their more politically connected members formed alliances with local commissions and agencies. The 205 Now plan, which received its formal approval by the California Transportation Commission on September 29th, has patched together an ingenious and complicated funding strategy that is financing the I-205 widening project in the complete absence of federal money:

San Joaquin County's local transportation planning agency would use $66.3 million of its own funds to complete the project and be reimbursed by the state in equal payments of $22.1 million in fiscal years 2008-09, 2009-10 and 2010-11.

The state would pay the $25 million difference in the $92 million construction cost. State law allows agencies to lend the state money, interest-free, provided the loan is accompanied by an agreement calling for reimbursement in cash, or other transportation projects, in later years.

Local funds for the construction project would come from proceeds of the sale of bonds backed by San Joaquin's Measure K sales tax. The bonds must be repaid because those tax dollars are needed for other projects.

Under the proposal, if Measure K is renewed in 2006, the [San Joaquin] Council of Governments would agree to be reimbursed mostly in cash and up to $16.5 million in projects.

Wow! Do you, like me, find it totally shocking that the citizens of San Joaquin County have been forced to promote this transportation project, shepherd it through the various commissions and agencies for approval, and then line up the financing structure to lend funds to the State of California, all with absolutely no help from their US Congressman (who, incidentally, sits on the House Transportation Committee)?

I can only hope that Richard Pombo doesn’t get a free ride on I-205 from either his constituents or his Democratic challengers.

Tags: CA-11, Richard Pombo, I-205, 205 Now, Ort Lofthus, San Joaquin County, traffic

Down on the farm

The 11th Congressional District has many communities that are struggling with their identity. From Morgan Hill to Livermore to Tracy to Lodi or Escalon, small cities are becoming suburban bedroom communities without the local jobs to support their citizens. At the same time, they try to hold on to their agricultural past. You see it in the nature of the various festivals that they hold each year.

Still, San Joaquin County remains a great agricultural center. According to a report from UC Davis, San Joaquin County's agricultural sales rank it 6th in the state. There are over 4000 farms with an average size of just over 209 acres.

The San Joaquin County Chapter of the California Farm Bureau Federation reports that in 2004 San Joaquin County produced $1.6 billion in sales.

Top five crops, by value, 2004:
Milk	$324.6 million
Grapes	$188.8 million
Almonds	$172 million
Tomatoes	$107 million
Cherries	$97.9 million

At the same time, San Joaquin County's ~20000 agricultural workers are having a very rough time. UC Davis reports that "The San Joaquin Valley is one of the few US regions in which inflation-adjusted per capita incomes fell from $21,100 in 1979 to $20,100 in 2001 (p19)." They also enumerate the role that immigration and education (or the lack of it) play in determining the economic nature of San Joaquin County.

I mention all of this background because I think that agricultural issues can have a major influence on the coming election and that the Democratic challengers to Pombo have not yet demonstrated any real understanding of what those connections are or how to exploit them. I sometimes wonder if they know where the Farm Bureau offices are or have ever even had lunch with Farm Bureau leaders.

One key issue here is employment, job and the maintenance of an agricultural workforce. It has been a long term policy of the California Farm Bureau Federation to have some sort of official guest worker program so that they would not be hiring illegal immigrants just to get their crops picked. In 2003, the then head of the California Farm Bureau Federation, Bill Pauli, testified in front of a Pombo-led Agricultural Sub-Committee.

This spring, Imperial Valley asparagus growers have abandoned part of their crops in an effort to keep up with the harvest. Last year was a below-normal production year in California. If we experience normal or above normal harvests, the situation will get worse. We can't wait for a crisis to develop before we act. We urge this committee to lead the way in working for an H-2A program that is workable.

Back in February, the Fresno Bee reported on the effort to pass an Ag Job bill, one that would provide for legal guest workers for the agricultural industry.

Half a million illegal aliens now picking America's crops could become legal residents and, eventually, U.S. citizens under sweeping legislation reintroduced Thursday.

Backed by hundreds of farm, labor and church groups, the so-called AgJobs bill still faces serious political hurdles. But though similar legislation withered in the last Congress, supporters insist this year's effort will be less encumbered by election-year politics.

"If the farmworkers and agribusiness can put aside decades of often bitter differences, surely Congress and the White House can do the same," United Farm Workers President Arturo Rodriguez said at a Capitol Hill news conference.

As recently as this week, Pombo, supposedly the friend of Agricuolture, the good old down home cowboy, voted FOR an immigration control bill that makes it a felony to be an illegal immigrant in the United States; that increases the penalties on employers for hiring illegal immigrants and that has absolutely NO consideration for a guest worker program. This bill has none of the imigration policy provisions sought by President Bush when he toured the border a week or so ago.

I know that if I were a candidate planning to run against Pombo, I would pick up the phone, call Mike Robinson (San Joaquin Farm Bureau President) and say "let's talk about this." The San Joaquin County Farm Bureau says that it is about

Working With Labor: Farm Bureau actively supports federal legislation to ensure availability of adequate labor supply, to promote worker safety and to provide safe, affordable housing. Bilingual safety training and employer relations programs are also an important part of Farm Bureau's work.

It sounds more like Pombo is angling for American Independent Party votes than acting in the best interests of San Joaquin County farmers.

The California Democratic Party platform talks to their support of Agriculture.

Agriculture. Support agriculture that conserves land and water, provides decent jobs and work environment for farm workers, sustains a healthy food supply for the nation and provides an economically viable way to preserve open space.

Now would be a great time to prove it.

Posts By Categories

I’m putting this up in the hopes of aiding site navigation. I have gone through all of the posts and have loosely categorized them by topic. This is just the rough version, which I’m putting out because I heard I might get some traffic from a pretty substantial referral today. Enjoy. And remember, reading about Richard Pombo is not enough. We need everyone to get involved and make a donation.

The District

• Why the Netroots Should Pay Attention to CA-11 (10-18-05)
  
• The Potential and Limitations of Outside Organizers (10-23-05)
  
• Those Confounded Numbers (11-01-05)
  
• Who Are the Boxer-Pombo Voters? (11-05-05)
  
• Examination of Filson Claim that Influx of Bay Area Migrants to San Joaquin Will Help His Chances (11-07-05)
  
• Expert Advice (11-23-05)
  
• VPO on the Conventional Wisdom (12-02-05)
  
• State of Dem Party in San Joaquin County (12-03-05)
  
• Economic Disparity in the District (12-15-05)
  
• The Machado Factor (12-16-05)
  
  

Richard Pombo

• Pombo Trips Broke Tax Law, Promoted Commercial Whaling (10-19-05)
  
• Pombo's "Delay Ranking" (10-21-05)
  
• Pombo and Delay (10-21-05)
  
• Link roundup (10-25-05)
  
• On Pombo's Bullshit (10-28-05)
  
• Pombo's Extremist Ties (10-31-05)
  
• Pombo in their Pocket (11-01-05)
  
• Pombo and Native Americans (11-04-05)
  
• Let 'Em Burn Wood (11-10-05)
  
• Pombo Votes to Cut Food Stamps (11-11-05)
  
• Pombo's Bogeyman: Liberal Republicans (11-12-05)
  
• Pombo's Mining Provision Unspun (11-17-05)
  
• Disgusting Tracy Press Editorial (Take Action) (11-19-05)
  
• Sportsmen Tee Off on Richard Pombo (11-25-05)
  
• Pombo Is No Friend to Family Farms (11-29-05)
  
• New Questions About Pombo Breaking House Ethics Rules (12-06-05)
  
• Two Republican Senators Oppose Pombo Amendment (12-07-05)
  
• Pombo Staffers on the Abramoff Gravy Train (12-08-05)
  
• Why Are They Shilling for Pombo Today? (12-12-05)
  
• Giving Pombo the Hook (12-16-05)
  

The Candidates

• The Two Democratic Challengers (10-15-05)
  
• Money, Money, Money (10-17-05)
  
• Draw Your Own Conclusions (10-18-05)
  
• Is Filson a Union Man? (10-24-05)
  
• Filson's Shallow CD-11 Roots (10-26-05)
  
• Filson Makes His Pitch (10-28-05)
  
• Another Country Heard From (10-29-05)
  
• Filson: Raised the Floor and Lowered the Ceiling (10-29-05)
  
• Margee Ensign likely to enter race (10-30-05)
  
• McNerney as an Anti-War Candidate (11-02-05)
  
• A Perfect Storm? (11-11-05)
  
• Anticipating Margee Ensign’s Speech (11-17-05)
  
• Professor Margee Ensign (11-18-05)
  
• Tracy Press: McNerney Hires Fundraisers (11-22-05)
  
• The Plot Thickens (11-26-05)
  
• Steve Thomas Speaks (11-27-05)
  
• Union Group Endorses Jerry McNerney (11-30-05)
  
• More on McNerney's Endorsements (12-01-05)
  
• Margee Ensign Filed Her Papers (12-04-05)
  
• Will We Have a Tough Three-Way Primary? (12-06-05)
  
• Ensign Rumored to Be Reconsidering Her Candidacy (12-09-05)
  
• Why are Tauscher AND Pelosi Supporting Steve Filson? (12-10-05)
  
• More on Pelosi and Filson (12-11-05)
  
• Ensign Is Out (12-12-05)
  
• Character Matters: Speeches from last night's meeting (12-14-05)
  

Campaign Updates

• Campaign Updates (11-19-05)
  
• Odds and Ends (12-03-05)
  
• More Campaign Updates (12-13-05)
  
• Things I Heard Last Night (12-14-05)
  

Meta

• Meta Post #1 (10-28-05)
  
• One Less Month of Richard Pombo (11-15-05)
  
• How to Get Involved (11-20-05)
  
• When They Don't Call (11-28-05)

Giving Pombo the Hook

After some discussion, Matt has invited me to join this list as a contributing writer. I think that I represent a different viewpoint on this election and that having more ways to understand what is happening is goodness. You can click on my name to see a bit of my real background.

Yesterday, I responded to Matt's post: Things I Heard Last Night with a comment on the fact that you can not equate union support with Democratic support. There are some unions, such as the SEIU, for which this is probably true. There are others, in particular the building trade unions, where this is definitely not true. Building trade unions back many of Pombo's actions in Congress and some of them (Carpenters and Joiners for example) contribute directly to his campaign. In fact, there may even be a disconnect between the actions taken by union political committees and the way that their membership votes.

I think that defeating Pombo will take concerted action by a number of disparate groups that are not normally associated with each other. There must be some focus on those issues which will cause an otherwise conservative, normally Republican voter to feel that Pombo has broken faith with them so badly that they will be willing to seek different representation, whether by holding their nose and voting for a Democrat, or by actively supporting an alternative candidate in the Republican Primary.

I think that there are a number of issues on which this will come in to play and plan to post a series of entries here that define those issues and talk about how they might be exploited. I would like to start this off by giving recognition to the role that hunting and fishing groups had in the defeat of the Gibbons / Pombo mining law changes.

You find mining stories in unlikely publications, such as Trout Unlimited. Major newspapers in the West focused on the opposition that this bill got from the "hook and bullet crowd". According to the December 14, 2005 LA Times:

On Tuesday, a coalition of more than two dozen hunting and fishing groups claiming to represent 55 million hunters and fishermen sent a letter to Rep. Jim Nussle, an Iowa Republican who chairs the House Budget Committee, and Rep. John M. Spratt Jr., a South Carolina Democrat and the committee's ranking minority member, expressing "serious concerns."

"America's hunters and anglers depend upon public lands and waters … to pursue their tradition of hunting and fishing," the groups wrote. "This proposal to sell public land is being universally poorly received throughout the hunting and angling community."

A recent comment by Mike at PomboWatch defines this in plain terms. "I believe if the national hook and bullet organizations feel Pombo and Gibbons are going to attempt another stealth move like the mining bill they will attack him first."

We know that Pombo and Gibbons plan to bring this back next year. It fits the way that they have always operated. Pombo is a true ideologue and he does not accept defeat. Once something becomes a part of his "program" it is brought back at every single opportunity. You can never say that you beat him on one thing and turn your attention elsewhere, because as soon as you do, like the Terminator, he will be back. In fact, the Resources Committee press releases on the mining bill state that they will bring it back again.

This really means that someone will have to track exactly what is going on. They will have to make sure that the editors of publications such as Trout Unlimited, Field and Stream and all of those outdoor magazines that seem to lay around in barber shops are kept aware of what is going on.

The Delta is an area that sees a lot of fishing. The Central Valley has always been an area where bird hunters congregate. The size and power of this constituency should not be overlooked. It is a niche and not one where the progressive crowd has much influence. If the objective is to separate some groups of Republicans from the Pombo Camp, this is one group that should be at the top of the list.

The Machado Factor

POSTED BY SCOTT RESTIVO:

The big question looming over the 11th District race at this point is whether State Senator Mike Machado will jump in. The filing deadline is March 10, 2006, for the June 6 primary, and Machado really does not have to make a decision until then. So the Dems could be left waiting with bated breath until March to see if Machado joins or not.

There are several large factors that are in Machado's favor, and the Dems power-that-be see this and were encouraging him to run, and most likely still are:

1. He can raise serious money, such as the $5 million for his last senatorial election.
2. His name recognition is huge in San Joaquin.
3. He has strong credentials as a San Joaquin local.
4. He can run an aggressive, no-prisoners-taken campaign.
5. He can raise serious money, such as the $5 million for his last senatorial election.
6. He is an experienced politician, something the other candidates are not.
7. He is termed out of the Senate seat in 2008 anyway.
8. He wants to stay in politics.
9. He can raise serious money, such as the $5 million for his last senatorial election. (or did I say that already?)

All in all, he would, no question, be the strongest candidate against Pombo. If he sees that Pombo is vulnerable and that a Democrat could win this year, he will jump in, I think. He would not want another Dem to win this year and then have to run against that incumbent in a primary in 2008. Even if he starts in March, he has run campaigns before and would be able to ramp up very quickly.

And Pombo is looking more and more vulnerable. He has gone far off the deep-end with proposals to sell off parks and national lands, to gut the Endangered Species Act, and other grossly anti-environmental actions. Also, there are the DeLay/Abramoff corruption scandals swirling around him.

But most important, I think, is that he has not done a damn thing for the District. San Joaquin County has one of the lowest per capita rates of federal spending. For example, for Fiscal Year 2001, according to page 41 of this report, the county received $4328 per person versus a $6321 average across the US. With over half a million people in the county, and with Pombo in office for 14 years, that works out to a shortfall of over $15 billion dollars. Certainly, Pombo has not brought home the bacon. He is actually costing the District money every day he stays in office. Any serious candidate would point this out repeatedly, as much as the scandals and anti-environmentalism.

With Pombo off on ideologically driven campaigns to do such things as sell off the National Parks and restart commercial whaling, he has not passed any truly significant legislation that helps the District. Granted, he has done a few things here and there to get some federal money, but overall his perfomance has been pathetic, and has cost the District billions of dollars in lost federal spending.

Meanwhile, the District suffers from poverty worse than Appalachia, some of the worst air quality, poor schools, tainted water, transportation issues, etc., etc.

OK, this was not meant to be a rant against Pombo. I could go on and on with that. I think I have established that Pombo is vulnerable. Now back to Machado. Will he run or not? I think the smart thing for him is to see how the race is shaping up and what Dem contenders are out there and how their campaigns shape up. Right now, there is just Steve Filson and Jerry McNerney, and Machado would easily eclipse them. That would not even be a contest. Next, maybe more dirt will come out about Pombo's dealings with Tom DeLay and Jack Abramoff and the Indian tribes and Marianas Islands. Also, by waiting, Machado has a chance to build behind the scenes support and see what kind of backing he can arrange before he actually declares.

So in many ways, it is Machado's game now. If he does join the race, many Dems will be excited and energized, not because Machado has great, progressive ideas, but because he is serious contender who could, with the right moves, beat Pombo in November. He could be seen as the white knight, riding in to rescue the District from another two years of Pombo.

************************************
More Info on Machado and the Senate districts:

Democrat Mike Machado is the State Senator for District 5, which encompasses a good part of San Joaquin, as well as extending north into Solano, Yolo, and Sacramento counties.

The rest of San Joaquin County, including Lodi, Escalon, and parts of Tracy are in District 14 and represented by
Senator Charles Poochigian, a Republican. District 14 is an odd-shaped creature with its main body in the Fresno area, then reaching over with a few juts into San Joaquin County.

Economic Disparity in the District

There are some significant differences between San Joaquin County, which constitutes just over half of the district, and the parts of the other three counties that form the remainder of the district. I’ve mentioned this before, but I would like to look at this a little more systematically today.

According to the Modesto Bee, the Congressional Research Service has just come out with a long report showing that the San Joaquin Valley is poorer by some standards than Appalachia. Margee Ensign spoke about this somewhat in her campaign speeches, but it still hasn’t gotten enough attention. I must say as a Californian that it’s pretty staggering to think that a part of the state is so impoverished that it ranks below Appalachia, which is a region well-known for its endemic poverty. The article says:

“By a wide range of indicators, the San Joaquin Valley is one of the most economically depressed regions of the United States," the Congressional Research Service concluded in its final version of a report begun about a year ago. Even notoriously poor Appalachia stretching from the northeastern states to the South fares better in some respects.

Per-capita income is lower in the valley's eight counties than in the 68-county area known as Central Appalachia. The valley's public assistance rates are higher than Appalachia's. Uncle Sam also seems to be investing more in Appalachia than in the valley. Per capita federal spending overall was lower in the San Joaquin Valley than in the depressed Central Appalachian sub-region, the report concluded.

To be clear, this report covers all of the San Joaquin Valley, which stretches more or less from Stockton to Bakersfield. As far as I can tell, San Joaquin County itself is a bit better off economically than the parts of the San Joaquin Valley further to the south. Still, San Joaquin County has much more in common with the San Joaquin Valley as a whole than it has in common with the other parts of CA-11. In fact, the differences between SJC and other the parts of the district are pretty staggering. It’s hard to quantify the cultural differences, so let’s just look at the economic differences.

First, let me caution you about reading too much into the averages you might see. Nick Juliano, on his Political Notes blog, cited a district-wide median household income of around $62,000. (He was using the statistic in a different way, so what I’m saying is not intended at all as a critique of his use, which was perfectly proper).

Don’t let that median household income fool you. There are huge income disparities between San Joaquin County and the rest of the district. For example, in 2000 Stockton, the largest city in the county, had a median household income (MHI) of around $35,500 and Tracy (Pombo’s hometown) had a MHI of around $63,000. This contrast to Danville (where Steve Filson lives), which had a median household income of $114,000, and Pleasanton (where Jerry McNerney lives), which had a median household income of $91,000.

Furthermore, the differences are exacerbated at the higher end of the income spectrum. Almost everyone in the district with a household income over $125,000 a year lives somewhere other than San Joaquin County.

If you’re interested, you can check out the statistics for all of the cities and towns (that I know of) in the district, which I have organized by county:

• Alameda: Dublin, Pleasanton, Sunol
  


• Contra Costa: Blackhawk, Brentwood, Byron, Danville, Diablo, Discovery Bay, San Ramon,
  


• Santa Clara: Morgan Hill
  


• San Joaquin County: Country Club, Escalon, Farmington, Garden Acres, Lodi, Lincoln Village, Linden, Lockeford, Manteca, Morada, Ripon, Stockton, Tracy, North Woodbridge, South Woodbridge
  

What’s the point?

Well first, all the candidates we have in the race come to San Joaquin County as outsiders in a very literal sense. But in addition to this, I think there is a huge issue of class that will have a big effect on who wins the Democratic primary.

As I’ve mentioned before, Steve Filson is a well-off candidate from the richest part of the district. He’s not going to be electable if he does not find a way to connect with, or otherwise inspire, the voters in SJC. Right now, I don’t see either a political message or a personality that is going to do it for him. Jerry McNerney, whatever else you think about him, clearly seems to be doing a better job of connecting with folks in San Joaquin County.

Richard Pombo, who admittedly makes Filson look like a pauper by way of comparison, is also to connect with voters in SJC. He is able to do that partially because he is undeniably a local, and he plays to the image of a local boy who did well for himself and got elected to Washington. But he also is much more socially conservative than any of the Democrats in the race, and this plus his skill at using rhetoric to mask his political ideology, makes Pombo’s values appear much more in line with the values and traditions of San Joaquin County voters than the values really are. Like most things in politics, in this case perception counts more than reality.

Of course, Pombo does not represent his constituents’ economic interests, especially those that live in SJC. I think that provides an opening for a Democratic candidate who sticks to kitchen table issues and puts forth a populist message.

He voted to eliminate the estate tax. How many voters in San Joaquin County do you think that helped? Richard Pombo is fighting to let Canadian mining companies snap up federal land at fire sale prices, but he acquiesces to cuts in food stamps. Who’s he representing? Not his constituents. Richard Pombo is causing a ruckus about opening ANWR to drilling, but does not lift a finger to help his constituents widen I-205. Who’s he representing? Clearly not the people who voted to put him in office. Richard Pombo is one of the most powerful members in the House of Representatives, but he hardly does one damn thing for his constituents. He’s too busy trying to allow an Indian casino to open in upstate New York even though nobody in the community wants one. Or anything it seems, but represents the people he is duty-bound to represent. And I think this is one of his biggest weaknesses.

Things I Heard Last Night

Last night, after the speeches, there was a lot of time to socialize with the others who attended the meeting. I was surprised that a lot of the people I had hoped to see did not come, and the upshot of this is that the people I did know at the event were mostly McNerney supporters. Actually, to be clear, most of the people I knew were my friends who also happen to be McNerney supporters. So I think others looked at me sitting and talking with McNerney partisans before the meeting began and drew the understandable, but mistake, conclusion that I too was a McNerney partisan. Throughout the night I noticed a certain caginess when CA-11 came up, and a couple of people made reference to my “guy” or my “candidate” meaning McNerney. I think this made the night much less fruitful as a fact-finding mission than it might otherwise have been, although I did hear some interesting rumors, which will make up the bulk of this post .

Note, I did not speak to Steve Filson, however, whom I did not seek out and who did not seek me out either. Initially I was bothered by his speech, but as the evening wore on I saw him schmoozing with others and decided to let him make the most of it. But I did not run any of the following rumors or observations by Filson, so take them with a grain of salt.

• The first big thing I observed was that people were deeply unhappy with the fact that Margee Ensign leaving the race. Every former Ensign supporter I spoke to seemed unsure what to do now that she’s out of the race. On one hand it’s good that Ensign rallied a group of supporters who might have otherwise stayed less active in the race, but on the other hand her supporters do not have any clear direction now that she’s back out of the race. I do want to note that Ensign sent me an e-mail letting me know that she’s going to stay actively involved in this race, and in fact is going to speak at the Tracy Democratic Club this evening. I’m sure that will placate her supporters somewhat, although it still leaves them without a candidate.
  


• I overheard a member of the County Democratic Central Committee mention that she was looking for a “wealthy Democrat” to join the race, although I suspect she meant State Senator Mike Machado, who is probably the only A-list contender waiting in the wings. I had heard that some members of the Congressional delegation were putting pressure on Machado to run, but I can’t see why he’d bow to it now. He’s termed out in 2008, so he has time to build up a war chest to take on Pombo if Pombo stays in office. And even if a Democrat beat Pombo, the Democrat would still be very vulnerable to a primary challenge by Machado. But if Machado does enter this race, I expect the other Democrats would bow out. And I think some people are pinning their hopes on that.
  


• I heard that the Sierra Club is looking to enter the race in an anti-Pombo (as opposed to pro-Democrat) capacity. This is the second time I heard the rumor. The first time I heard the rumor was this weekend, and it was from someone who told me that it was supposed to be super hush hush. I figure if I heard about it again last night from a completely different source, it can’t be that big of a secret. In any event, my first source told me that this effort was being discussed by the National chapter, as the Mother Lode chapter of the Sierra Club (which is the chapter that covers San Joaquin County) was afraid of entering the race and pissing Pombo off. This got a big fat “WTF?!?” from me. Hopefully saner heads are prevailing and we’ll see a big push by environmentalists to rid the House of one Mr. Richard Pombo.
  


• Perhaps the most gossipy of the rumors I heard last night was that sometime last week Steve Filson told a crowd that either he would not or might not (my source wasn’t clear) support Pelosi as leader of the House Democrats. This really upset some people (including some important checkbook Democrats) who thought it was tasteless to take Pelosi’s money and show up at events with her and then say that you would not or might not support her. Before we head down the road we went down last week, let me just say that my source ended by telling me that Pelosi and Filson had “kissed and made up” already about this. Furthermore, I might not know exactly what Filson said, but I do know whatever he said upset some people that it’s not smart to upset. So I put this here as another small fracas started by Filson’s lack of tact.
  


• Also, I spoke for awhile with Pam Aguilar, who is the head of the Contra Costa Central Labor Council. I was trying to see what I could find out about their endorsement process, which she was nice enough to discuss with me. The short version is that nothing is happening yet, but I did get a lot of background about how the CLC operates in Contra Costa County. In any event, I made some comment about how I was impressed by how labor provides such a strong backbone of Democratic field operations and she made a comment about how she hopes more Democrats get involve in the effort. I told her that my take on things was that Democrats were very, very energetic to take on Pombo and that Labor would get a lot of help from the Democrats I knew. But Contra Costa Country CLC represents 90,000 union members, and I bet they have a much larger active volunteer base than Contra Costa CDCC.
  


• Lastly, I heard that some people have been getting robo-calls from a group opposed to Pombo. If I recall correctly, they said the calls were from American Family Voices, but I might be misremembering the name they gave me.

Character Matters: Speeches from last night's meeting

The Contra Costa County Democratic Central Committee meeting and holiday party last night was not what I expected. First, I really had not expected much of a meeting. Silly me. But the meeting did give the elected officials and candidates who attended the ability to give short (for politicians at least) speeches to the crowd. Both Jerry McNerney and Steve Filson spoke, and I think their speeches provided the most important fodder for this piece. So I’m going to discuss the speeches somewhat before I discuss some of the interesting rumors I heard and the observations I made during the subsequent party. I will include those in the next post. (Update, the next post is up, here)

To set the stage a bit, you need to understand that the Co Co County Democratic Central Committee is the organizational level at which the Democratic Party grassroots meets Democratic elected officials and the Democratic Party establishment. The meeting last night was attended at various points by State Senators Liz Figueroa (SD10) and Jackie Speier (SD08), who are both running for Lt. Governor in 2006; State Assemblyman Joe Canciamilla (AD11); Loni Hancock (AD14); the mayors of Richmond and San Pablo; and Joe Ovick, Contra Costa County Superintendent of Schools, who came up with the best anti-Pombo line of the night, saying (roughly) “I had a discussion with Representative Pombo, who is Chairman of the House Resources Committee, and I told him that he was constantly ignoring the needs of our most valuable resource—our children.” I think the number of politicians that showed up last night evidences the political power held by the members of the County Democratic Central Committee and the grassroots constituencies they represent.

I any event, after a thankfully brief agenda that included discussion of various bylaw amendments, the Chair of the DSCC called Liz Figueroa up to speak. She gave a good, positive speech. Then, since neither Jackie Speier nor Steve Filson had arrived, the Chair called upon Jerry McNerney to say a few words.

While McNerney was heading up to the podium, Liz Figueroa called out, out of the blue and somewhat casually, that she was endorsing Jerry. This took everyone by surprise, including, I think, McNerney himself. I guess Christmas does come early for some people.

McNerney’s speech was not fantastic, but it was a lot better than almost any speech I had seen or heard him give. I’d give it a solid B. He seemed relaxed and positive, and there was a twinkle in his eye, no doubt from his recent (vocal) endorsement by a popular State Senator. (For those who don’t know, Figueroa’s district includes Pleasanton, which is where McNerney lives along with about 30,000 other Democrats). That said, McNerney addressed his message to the “Republicans” and the “neo-Cons,” which I thought was a little misguided since he was speaking to such a quintessentially Democratic audience. But even where he faltered in style, what he said was still substantively fine. He got a lot of cheers and applause from the crowd and I think he did okay for what was really nothing more than a three minute schpiel.
I’m much, much more critical of the speech Steve Filson gave. He arrived sometime in the middle of McNerney’s speech, so he might not have understood exactly what was going on. Still, I think he should have understood his audience well enough to avoid some of the excesses that he engaged in.

As he began to speak, I noticed some odd mannerisms. He was pacing back and forth and literally twiddling his thumbs, which made it seem like he was giving off really bad vibes. So stylistically, I was turned off by how he was speaking. But I would not mention it if he had not said something that really bothered me and, from what I can tell, a number of others in the room.

Filson began by talking about how bad Richard Pombo is. So far so good. But then he started down a weird road saying (this is from memory, so it may not be exact), “I am the one who can beat Richard Pombo. My friends have told me that I am the one who can beat Pombo. Voters in the district have told me that I am the one who can beat Richard Pombo. I have had members of Congress tell me that I am the one who can beat Pombo.” I’m not sure the words on the screen quite do this justice. It came off as exceptionally arrogant. My thoughts at the time were: And no doubt Cesar the High Priest has told you that you’re the son of Jupiter, what’s your point? But again, I would not have mentioned anything here, had he not taken it one step further.

I forget exactly what he said, but his next rhetorical step was to talk about how it’s going to take a lot of money to defeat Pombo and how he (Filson) is the only one with the money. The jab against McNerney was blatant, and to my mind uncalled for. And frankly, in a room full of grassroots figures of sufficient stature that they should have been consulted before Filson was thrust upon the district by Washington, I’m doubt it made him any friends or won him any supporters. If anything, I think it exacerbated the feeling that Filson takes his real political gold—his fundraising numbers ought to be a strong argument for him after all—and turns it into political lead by the force of his personality.

Nobody else even hinted at taking pot-shots at their Democratic opponents that night. And frankly, Filson could have conveyed his strengths (assuming there was anyone in the room who was ignorant of the race, which was not likely), without sounding like he was attacking McNerney. The last thing people in the Democratic Party want is an ugly primary. But Filson seems content to make things uglier than they need to be. This bothers me, and I’m not the only one. In fact, I really think Filson is alienating people who ought to be his supporters.

And to be clear, the argument against what Filson said is not moralistic, it’s hard nosed in its own way. Recently I had a phone conversation with an Ensign supporter after it was clear that Ensign was bowing out of the race. The Ensign supporter told me that he agreed with Filson’s politics to a large degree, but could not see himself supporting Filson in the primary because “character matters.” He’s right, character does matter. And if Steve Filson cannot or will not elevate the discourse about the race beyond crude political calculus and stratagem, he’s not going to be half so electable as he claims to be.

More Campaign Updates

I’m going to the Contra Costa County Democratic Central Committee (Co Co County DCC) meeting this evening. It’s a potluck and a small fundraiser ($15/person suggested donation) so there ought to be a good combination of local grassroots activists and elected officials and their coteries. I’m going for recreational purposes, even though I don’t live in the county, but I’ll keep my ear to the ground and see if I can’t pick up any info about the race in CD-11. It’s going to be the first opportunity for me to get a feel for the state of the race now that Ensign is out, so hopefully I’ll get a feel for how this development has changed the dynamics in Contra Costa County. You can check back on what happened tomorrow.

In the meantime, I figure it’s time to throw in some campaign updates. As usual, I’m only able to speak about what I’ve heard or experienced. I do not have much new information on Steve Filson’s campaign, so any Filson supporters out there (or really anyone knowledgeable about his campaign) can feel free to add an update in the comment section. The same goes for Steve Thomas.

• First, I want to announce that due to a considerable response from the matching donor offer, the ActBlue site has generated $1,535 in contributions from new donors since last Thursday. Out of that, $100 went to the General Election Fund, $100 went to Ensign, and the remainder, $1335, went to McNerney. Because the matching donation offer was limited to $1,000, that offer is now over.
  


• Second, Jerry McNerney has recently announced that he has hired a new campaign manager, A.J. Carrillo. Carrillo was the person I called “AC” when I allowed him to guest-post in an entry I titled “Expert Advice.” I have two things to say about this.
  
  
  • One, I think Carrillo, having managed the coordinated campaign for the DCCC in KS-3 (Dennis Moore’s district) in 2004, brings a lot of expertise to McNerney’s team. Carrillo has proven that he can function successfully in a very red district, and he brings with him a more systematized and more practical understanding of a congressional race than most of the other members of the McNerney Campaign. McNerney’s biggest weakness besides his poor fundraising numbers has been a pretty significant level of disorganization in his campaign. Working with an all-volunteer team without much establishment support is a recipe for learning the ropes the hard way. Adding Carrillo to the team ought to do a lot to add a keener focus to McNerney’s campaigning efforts.
    
  
  
  • Two, I think the process by which McNerney found Carrillo shows something important about the blogosphere. After posting Expert Advice, the McNerney people contacted me about Carrillo. I then turned around and gave Carillo the contact info of the McNerney team. I bring this up because I think blogs are uniquely suited to connect people who might not otherwise know of, let alone know, one another. That is, just having a “location” in cyberspace allows a process of self-selection on the part of the audience, such that people with similar interests and goals will almost inevitably wind up connecting if that’s what they want to do. In an area like CD-11 where the organizational structure of the Democratic Party is not completely straightforward (with four county committees, any number of assembly district committees, different clubs, etc. all inter-connected in various ways) blogs function as a locus of interconnection with very low barriers to entry. The informal nature of this organizing helps bring in people who might not otherwise feel comfortable in the Democratic Party hierarchy. Far from simply preaching to the choir, blogs can function as an important tool in the service of political organizing and community-building.
    
  
  
• Lastly, Nick Juliano of the Tracy Press reports that Steve Filson raised approximately $20,000 at his Washington fundraiser on December 6. This was less than what I had speculated he might raise, as one commenter noted. However, the numbers I gave before the event were simply my guess, and were not based on anything Team Filson had put out. I have no way to determine how successful Filson himself considered the fundraiser, although I expect that he’d be happy to raise in one night an amount it takes his opponents a fortnight to raise.

Ensign Is Out

Now it’s official, Margee Ensign has dropped out of the race. She confirmed this to me in an e-mail exchange earlier today. I was not sure whether I was supposed to wait for an official announcement from her before I blogged about it, but I see that Nick Juliano of the Tracy Press has an announcement about this up already on his brand-spanking-new blog. (Welcome to the blogosphere Nick, we’ll be linking to you). Given that Nick basically got everything I got out of Ensign, I figured there was no harm in putting the information up on this blog as well.

Ensign has declined to discuss her reasoning for dropping out of the race, and has instead sent me the following statement:

“So many of the challenges facing us in our community and country are related to educational performance. We must ensure that all of our students are prepared for the 21st century challenges. It is in this arena that I believe that I can have the greatest impact.”

I hope that this does not signal her desire to completely stop working to stop Pombo, but I cannot help note that she did not mention Pombo at all.

Also, Ensign has decided against endorsing any particular candidate at this time. This is perhaps the most significant piece of information aside from the fact that she’s dropping out of the race. We’ll have to see what she does later on, but my gut reaction is that the longer she waits to make an endorsement, the less of an impact her endorsement will have. Right now she has clearly energized a segment of the district to fight Pombo. Unless she continues to show leadership in the anti-Pombo effort, which she could do in a number of ways, her supporters are going to plug themselves in to other facets of the fight to oust Pombo. Once that happens, her voice will be much less likely to steer any of her erstwhile supporters towards one candidate or another.

Why Are They Shilling for Pombo Today?

Well since speculative posts are all the rage these days, I’ve got another doozy for you.  While I was looking at my Topix.net XML feed on Richard Pombo and I saw the following headline, “Junk Science on Mercury Debunked.”  I had heard that Richard Pombo and Jim Gibbons (yes the same guy who helped author the Pombo Amendment on mining) had come out with some sort of whitewash on the dangers of ingesting mercury. I clicked over figuring some enterprising scientist had debunked Pombo’s claims.  Instead, I read a press release, dated today, from the Heartland Institute supporting Pombo.  

Now before you all get uppity, you need to know that the Heartland Institute looks like another GOP astroturf group funded by the likes of the Scaife Foundations, ExxonMobil, and Phillip Morris. So it’s not surprising they’d shill for Pombo.  

What is surprising is that the press release came out today when there’s apparently no news about this issue.  I mean the press release itself essentially rehashed info (well really, rehashed bullshit) that’s been out since February.  So I wonder if this is an attempt to provide some positive press for a pair of Representatives that have caused quite a stir (and not in a good way), even among their fellow Republicans.                

Can anyone else think of another good reason for this press release?  Please drop a comment if you have anything insightful to say about this.

More on Pelosi and Filson

Babaloo posted a fabulous piece raising interesting questions about why Pelosi would give any money (especially in the primary) to Steve Filson when Filson is being backed by Ellen Tauscher and Steny Hoyer. Babaloo’s main post concerned the bad blood between Pelosi on one side and Tauscher and Hoyer on the other side. In the comments, Babaloo linked to a piece by David Sirota suggesting that Hoyer is actively working to undermine Pelosi’s leadership in the House. This seems to show that the history between Pelosi and Tauscher et al is not simply water under the bridge.

But Sirota also links to a Washington Post article that brings up another big point of contention between Pelosi and Tauscher, Hoyer, and (wait for it) Filson’s friend Rahm Emanuel. The issue is the war in Iraq. The fact that Pelosi would support a candidate who’s the golden boy of her ideological rivals on this issue, especially since she’s in the midst of currying support for her own position on Iraq, simply boggles my mind. I’m not sure I’m going to solve this issue in the post, and by the end of it you might be left with a big, fat question mark on the subject like I am. Still, I think this is something worth exploring.

So to begin, let’s establish that Pelosi is supporting Filson to some significant (although not overwhelming) extent. The clearest proof is the fact that Pelosi gave Filson at least $2,000 from her re-election account. I say at least because it’s unclear whether Pelosi has given Filson any additional money since the last reporting date at the end of September. Furthermore, I know that Pelosi co-hosted a fundraiser for Filson along with Ellen Tauscher and some other Reps (including Lofgren I believe) last week on December 6.

If Filson were less wholly a Tauscher devotee (or in fact, less indebted to Tauscher for giving life to his campaign) I might see Pelosi’s actions as a way of counterbalancing Tauscher’s influence with Filson. But Filson’s in so deep with Tauscher it’s hard for me to believe he’d be anything but an extremely loyal Tauscher supporter. So by helping Filson, Pelosi is helping someone who might not be loyal to her, and in fact might actually work with those trying to undercut Pelosi’s status in her caucus. And since this has been happening while there’s been a primary on the horizon, it’s hard to imagine that Pelosi is doing this out of some sense of self-sacrifice for the party.

This conundrum is compounded when we realize how vulnerable Pelosi has made herself by endorsing John Murtha’s call for withdrawal of troops within six months. The Washington Post lays this out pretty clearly (emphasis mine):

Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Rahm Emanuel (Ill.) and Rep. Steny H. Hoyer (Md.), the second-ranking House Democratic leader, have told colleagues that Pelosi's recent endorsement of a speedy withdrawal, combined with her claim that more than half of House Democrats support her position, could backfire on the party, congressional sources said.

These sources said the two leaders have expressed worry that Pelosi is playing into Bush's hands by suggesting Democrats are the party of a quick pullout -- an unpopular position in many of the most competitive House races.
"What I want Democrats to be discussing is what the president's policies have led to," Emanuel said. He added that once discussion turns to a formal timeline for troop withdrawals, "the how and when gets buried" and many voters take away only an impression that Democrats favor retreat.

[snip]

Senate Minority Leader Harry M. Reid (D-Nev.) embodies this cautious approach. He has resisted adopting a concrete Iraq policy and persuaded most Democratic senators to vote for a recent Senate resolution calling 2006 "a period of significant transition to full Iraqi sovereignty" and to compel the administration "to explain to Congress and the American people its strategy for the successful completion of the mission in Iraq." While Republicans introduced the resolution, it was prompted by a Democratic plan.

Democratic Reps. Jane Harman and Ellen Tauscher, both of California, plan to push House Democrats to adopt a similar position during a closed-door meeting today that is to include debate on the Pelosi position.

(Parenthetically, this shows the hollowness of Emanuel and the DCCC’s effort to run “macho Democrats” in 2006. If there was ever a macho Democrat, John Murtha was one. So it’s clear that Emanuel wants to run military vets to cobble together some sort of appearance of machismo to give people the impression that Dems are “strong on defense”, even while the Emanuel-backed candidates support a rather milquetoast policy on Iraq. So much for fighting for Democratic values….)

Maybe I’m just reading too much into this Washington Post article or maybe I’m giving Sirota too much credence. But it really looks like Pelosi’s support of Filson is somewhat masochistic. I’m not sure that Ensign or McNerney would endorse (either privately or publicly) Pelosi’s position on the race. But they each are certainly light years closer to Pelosi’s position than Filson, who please remember, has characterized calling for any timetable for withdrawal (much less a six month timetable) “irresponsible.”

Looking back over the Washington Post article I have more sympathy for Democrats who want to avoid the issue because they feel it’s bad politics than for the Democrats who are just reflectively hawkish. Tauscher, for example, wet-blanketed a move to pass an anti-war resolution at the Contra Costa Democratic Central Committee because, according to my source, Tauscher said it would embarrass her. This, despite widespread opposition in her district to the war.

Looked at this way, the Tauscher-Pelosi conflict looks both real and ideological as well as personal. These are not simply a case of people disagreeing on strategy. Again, what can explain Pelosi’s support for Tauscher’s chosen candidate? I’m really at a loss on this one.

Tags: CA-11, Richard Pombo, Steve Filson, Jerry McNerney, Margee Ensign, Nancy Pelosi, Ellen Tauscher, Steny Hoyer, Rahm Emanuel, DCCC, John Murtha

Why are Tauscher AND Pelosi Supporting Steve Filson?

David Sirota wrote a piece on December 7 about Democrats feeding at the corporate trough on K Street.

I have no problem with Democrats doing what they need to do to raise money to fight the good fight against Republicans. Until we get a publicly financed elections system in this country, one party cannot unilaterally disarm from fundraising. But, we all should have a BIG problem with Democrats actually deliberately planting stories in the press about how they are running around Washington, D.C. shaking down corporate lobbyists for cash. To do that, as Democrats are doing, is so incomprehensibly stupid it's hard to even put words together to describe it …

Today's example is in Roll Call [subscription only]. House Democrats, who have attacked the GOP's "culture of corruption," deliberately placed a story in Roll Call headlined "House Democrats Redouble Wooing of K Street." The story was likely placed by the second-ranking Democrat in the House, Minority Whip Steny Hoyer (D-MD).

A House Democratic project designed to dip into deep K Street wallets entered its second phase of the 2006 cycle Tuesday, as a group of prominent moderate Members enlisted business donors to shell out thousands of dollars to help the party’s top-tier candidates. Minority Whip Steny Hoyer (Md.), along with Reps. Joe Crowley (N.Y.), John Tanner (Tenn.) and Ellen Tauscher (Calif.), met Tuesday afternoon with roughly 50 business-minded Democratic consultants, lobbyists and corporate officers to get them to commit to writing checks to their most worthy party hopefuls next year.

Hmmm … I wonder just who those “most worthy party hopefuls” might be. You don’t think we know any of them, do you?

But this story makes me wonder about some other things. Whenever I see the names Steny Hoyer and Ellen Tauscher together in a sentence, my mind automatically adds Nancy Pelosi and Richard Pombo to the mix. Let me explain why.

Back in 1964, Phil Burton was elected to Congress as the representative for San Francisco. He quickly gained a national reputation as a powerful and ruthless politician crusading for leftist causes. Burton died in office in 1983, and his wife Sala Burton took his seat, serving until her death in 1987. During their combined 23 years in office, the Burtons joined with Jesse Unruh to build a Democratic political machine that still runs strong in California politics. Phil’s younger brother, John Burton (a milquetoast compared to Phil), occupied a seat in the State Legislature, as did protégés Willie Brown and George Moscone. From 1977 through 1984, Burton installed another of his friends, Nancy Pelosi, as chairman of the California State Democratic Party. When Sala Burton died in 1987, Nancy Pelosi ran for the seat previously held by her mentors.

Now, if you fast forward to 2001, Nancy Pelosi had paid her dues in Congress, building up alliances and stockpiling favors over seven terms. When she decided to run for House Minority Whip, though, there was a lot of fear that Pelosi was “too far left,” and a faction within the House called for the elevation of a “moderate Democrat.” (Sound familiar?) The moderate Democrat who challenged Pelosi for the whip position was Steny Hoyer. One of Hoyer’s strongest supporters was Ellen Tauscher, who, incidentally, was the lone member of the Bay Area Democratic delegation to go against Pelosi. Well, Pelosi prevailed in her quest to become whip. In 2002, when Dick Gephardt left his position as House Minority Leader to run for president, Pelosi ascended to that position. Her replacement as whip was, finally, Steny Hoyer.

But in the meantime, the California legislature, presided over by former State Sen. John Burton, had been busy redrawing legislative districts to comply with the 2000 census data. When the changes to her district were unveiled, the Highway 680/24 corridors had been gutted from Tauscher’s CD-10 and placed in Richard Pombo’s CD-11. Most people familiar with John Burton’s hardball tactics were not in the least surprised that after betraying Pelosi, Tauscher was suddenly being stripped of all of the big money sources in her district. But none of the politicians had factored in the power of the Lamorinda Democratic Club. Democrats along the Highway 24 corridor revolted at the notion of being represented by Richard Pombo and mounted a vigorous campaign to keep their community in CD-10. Ultimately, Burton backed down, drawing the line between CD-10 and CD-11 in Danville. Still, Tauscher lost a large part of her wealthy donor base to Richard Pombo’s neighboring district.

So here’s what I don’t get. I get the part about Tauscher and her long-time pal, Steny Hoyer, supporting Steve Filson and throwing their weight around with K Street lobbyists to drum up financial support for their chosen candidate. Sounds about right. But why on earth, after all that’s happened, is Nancy Pelosi supporting Steve Filson?

Tags: CA-11, Richard Pombo, Steve Filson, Ellen Tauscher, Steny Hoyer, Nancy Pelosi, K Street

Ensign Rumored to Be Reconsidering Her Candidacy

Those who read the comment sections of the blog might have noticed the following comment to the last entry:

Anonymous said...
There is an email going around indicating that Margee Ensign has cancelled her Blackhawk fundraiser and is reconsidering her candidacy. (?!)

12:57 PM, December 09, 2005

I’ve spoken with multiple sources about this and can confirm that Ensign has cancelled the Blackhawk fundraiser.  Other than that it looks like the rumors are pretty credible, at least insofar as it looks like Ensign is seriously “reconsidering her candidacy.”  Whether she’ll ultimately decide to continue running or not is still up in the air.  Or at least, I have no confirmation one way or the other about that.

Everyone I’ve spoken to about this, whether they know much about Ensign or not, has speculated that this might be due to the accelerated pace of her candidacy.  Babaloo, one of my wonderful co-authors, said it best:

You know, just idly speculating, coming so quickly on the heels of her announcement, it seems like the only reason for her to be reconsidering her candidacy at this point is if she is facing pressure from UOP.  Otherwise, there just is no reason not to go ahead and see how it plays out.  And perhaps, if she is in some sort of negotiation with the university over her status, she truly doesn't know if she will be continuing or not.  But it's my guess that she's absolutely not willing to give up her job for a run at this point.  Just a feeling.

For those who don’t quite get the connection, Ensign has said that announcing her candidacy would force her to step down as dean at the University of the Pacific (UOP).  From this Stockton Record article it’s pretty clear she was hoping to push that date until March, which is when she has to return her papers to get on the ballot.  It reads in part:

Ensign will keep her job as dean of UOP's School of International Studies until March, when she'll file her last set of papers to challenge Pombo. She will remain a professor and will take a leave of absence for the campaign  

I bet this assertion came from Ensign based on what she was expecting or hoping to happen.  It’s perfectly possible that the UOP administration thought differently and demanded that she step down as dean now, not in March.  Like Babaloo I’m inclined to think that if it came down to her job and this race for Congress, she’s choose her job.    

Again, this is just speculation.  Ensign has not returned any e-mails seeking a comment about this, and I imagine I won’t be the first person she tells.  So we might have to go to be tonight kiddies wondering what’s up.  Such is life I suppose.

The other interesting side to this is the question about how this will affect the race if it’s true.  My take is that Ensign’s withdrawal would help McNerney more than Filson.  I suppose it depends upon what prompted Ensign’s withdrawal (again, we’re speaking hypothetically here) and who Ensign would endorse, if anyone.  I’m not sure how likely this is, but if Ensign were to pull out and endorse McNerney, it would be a huge boost for his candidacy.  It would help consolidate McNerney’s claim to be the grassroots candidate.  Filson would also be aided by an Ensign endorsement, but since his campaign is less oriented towards the grassroots, the endorsement would be somewhat less useful for him (although it would deny McNerney the boost I mentioned earlier).

For her part, Ensign has been able to engage and energize a segment of the population not otherwise attracted to McNerney or Filson.  This means that even if she pulls out, again we’re talking about if at this point, she still could play a major role in the anti-Pombo efforts.  I hope that whatever happens, Ensign stays committed to fighting Pombo in one way or another.  We need her energy and passion in this race.  And we need the energy and passion of her supporters.  So here’s to hoping that she will stay committed to fighting Pombo, even if she ultimately decides not to run against him.            
  

Pombo Staffers on the Abramoff Gravy Train

The other day I quoted Josh Marshall calling Richard Pombo “an Abramoff freebie-meister” after Pombo denied ever using the now infamous Abramoff luxury skyboxes. At the time, I pointed out that whereas Pombo might be telling the truth about himself, it did not mean that nobody from his office used the skyboxes.

Today, Josh Marshall has published a list of Pombo staffers who accepted tickets, and to what events. (Hat tip, Tom Hilton). This confirms two things we knew. First, Pombo’s former Press Secretary Doug Heye has horrible taste in entertainment. WWF? My response: WTF? Really? Come on. Okay, maybe he has a child or something. I just hope he didn’t take a date to the circus. That’s all I’m saying. But second, and more important, is that Pombo’s staffers, even when he was a junior member of the House Resources Committee, still were very much aboard the Abramoff gravy train. Check out the list (source):

• February 15th, 2000, Capitals/Avalanche Hockey GameTodd Willens, Legislative Director, 4 tickets
  
• March 24th, 2000, CircusDouge [sic] Heye, Press Secretary, 2 tickets
  
• April 30th, 2000, WWF Backlash LiveDoug Heye, Press Secretary, 2 tickets
  
• August 6th 2000, WWF Attitude (with appearances by The Rock, Triple H, The Big Show, Chyna, Chris Jericho and the Undertaker), MCI Center.Doug Heye, Press Secretary, 2 tickets
  
• October 2nd, 2000 WWF Raw Is War, MCI Center.Doug Heye, Press Secretary, 2 tickets

It’s important to note that these were not junior staffers. Nor have they left the legislature.

Doug Heye, who now apparently works for Senator Richard Burr of North Carolina, was the Brian Kennedy of his day.

And Todd Willens has been promoted to Senior Policy Director of the House Resources Committee. This means that the Senior Policy Director of the committee that oversees Native American tribes received at least four skybox seats gratis from a lobbyist representing those very tribes. In fact, the cost of that very skybox was largely paid by money from the tribes that the Resource Committee oversees.

Not only does this raise troubling ethical questions, but it also raises the question about whether Pombo tolerated such unethical behavior. The promotion of Todd Willens certainly lends credence to the idea that he did and that this tolerance continues to this day.

Two Republican Senators Oppose Pombo Amendment

THE NEWS

There’s some hope on the Pombo mining provision front. It looks like Senator Wayne Allard (R-CO) has joined Senator Craig Thomas (R-WY) in opposing the Pombo’s mining provision, now apparently universally known as the Pombo Amendment.

At the end of November, Senator Thomas issued a press release in which he said, “I won’t stand by and let a band-aid fix to the Mining Act become a chronic injury to land use in our state.” So much for the spin that opposition to the provision is only coming from rabid environmentalist.

Today, Senator Allard chimed in with a slightly less hostile, but nonetheless equally oppositional press release. The money quote is: “‘As a member of the Senate Budget Committee, I intend to oppose its inclusion,’ Senator Allard said.”

Why the sudden change of heart? Well the blog ColoradoPols.com tells us something interesting. According to their website, “Some 43 groups, mostly hunting and fishing organizations, ganged up on Sen. Allard to urge him to oppose the provisions.” Those hunters and anglers who make up hunting and fishing organizations are pretty reliably Republican voters who, as Babaloo has discussed, get mighty worked up about access to their favorite hunting lands and fishing stream.

THE MEDITATION

And they have every damn right to, in my opinion.

There’s not on solitary reason to support the Pombo Amendment in its current form. Having the open spaces we do is part of what makes the America West a great place. And it’s part of our cultural birthright and heritage.

I grew up visiting Redding and Mt. Shasta sometimes eight to ten times in a year, and the family friends we had up there did their best to introduce me to their way of enjoying the wilderness. Granted, I think the idea of me carrying a rifle put the fear of God into people who were already vaguely nervous about me catching their ear when casting a fishing line. Still, they did the best they could to give me a perspective on what was for them a way of life.
I think about what this provision would do to people like these family friends, and it makes me really sad. There is something that strikes me as uniquely American about their experience. And as the population grows and cities reach out to suburbs that reach out to exurbs, I can’t help thinking about how that will affect their way of life. (For a look at what this means to Tracy, I highly recommend this wonderful piece by Bill Hatch of Badlands Journal).

Richard Pombo is a developer’s developer. The only way of life he seems to care about is his fat cat existence as the servant to every businesses interest that can make a buck off of exploiting the environment.
Sometimes thinking about him just makes me mad. But sometimes, perhaps when I’m at my most nostalgic, I think about how unerringly her serves Mammon and I wonder, Does he not understand what he is doing, or does he simply not care? Are I’m not sure whether to despise him or pity him. In these moments of irreconcilable ambivalence, I just know that I have to fight him. And I’m grateful for all of you who stand with me in this fight.

New Questions About Pombo Breaking House Ethics Rules

Today’s Sacramento Bee has a very interesting article by Michael Doyle about Richard Pombo’s connections to Jack Abramoff. Although the article is nominally about the connection between Pombo and the Mashpee Wampanoag tribe, the article gives us a very juicy tidbit that the author doesn’t seem to look at very closely—something Pombo said raises the possibility that he violated House ethics rules.
Doyle largely focuses on the allegations that under Abramoff’s direction the tribe gave large contributions to Pombo in order to get his support for legislation that would help the tribe get federal recognition. Unsurprisingly, after receiving the donations Pombo happened to propose a law that helped the Mashpee. Of course we get the typical Pombo denials about whether this was, as everyone with half a brain suspects, a case of pay to play.

There is no indication that Pombo or his staff have been linked to Abramoff's alleged misdeeds, and Pombo said he has been neither subpoenaed nor questioned by investigators. He said he didn't think his staff had been, either, and he stressed Monday that his dealings with Abramoff were strictly casual.

But later on in the piece we get this little gem:

Pombo said he doesn't recall ever visiting any of Abramoff's luxury boxes, nor did he travel with the lobbyist.
Once or twice, Pombo said, he did dine at Abramoff's pricey steak restaurant, Signatures, because some constituents had asked about it.

First, it’s important to note that Abramoff didn’t just gain influence by allowing members Congress to use his sky boxes, he also gained influence by allowing Congressional staff to use them. Josh Marshall at Talking Points Memo has been all over this like white on rice. Following the link you can see that at least one Pombo staffer, Doug Heye, got tickets to an Abramoff skybox (for WWF Raw is War of all things).

Also, Marshall has recently intimated that he has evidence showing Pombo (or maybe his staff) was a serial recipient of Abramoff’s largess (emphasis mine):

Perhaps there was a leadership office or committee he [Rep. Doolittle] was associated with back in 2000 and that obscures him in the references. But I doubt it. And he's nowhere close to fellow Rep. Richard Pombo (R-CA) as an Abramoff freebie-meister, for instance.

Marshall has a cache of e-mails from Abramoff’s old lobbying firm, and though I have sent Marshall an e-mail about Pombo, I haven’t gotten a reply yet. Still, it’s pretty clear this bears investigating.

Second, given I don’t trust Pombo as far as I can throw him (which judging by his picture wouldn’t be very far anyhow), we really need to investigate his admission that he dined at Abramoff’s restaurant, Signatures. As far as I know, this is the first time Pombo has been linked there. Although this might seem like a minor thing to the uninformed, this is actually a huge development.

Signatures was an extremely high-priced steakhouse where Abramoff comped up to $180,000 worth of food to members of Congress and Congressional staffers. Since there are strict House ethics rules about members of Congress accepting free meals, it’s possible a lot of Abramoff’s cronies in Congress violated ethics rules by accepting free meals at the restaurant. Furthermore, since there are records about things like this, this is an area where ethics violations can be readily proved. Again, Josh Marshall and his team have been at the forefront of this line of inquiry. Check out this piece by TPM Café contributor Austin Bonner and this longer article by Citizens for Ethics and Responsibility in Washington (CREW).

I hope this is a line of inquiry that gets picked up.

Will We Have a Tough Three-Way Primary?

Hank Shaw, the Capitol Bureau Chief of the Stockton Record, wrote an article today about Margee Ensign becoming an official candidate. This is something I reported on Sunday, although he didn’t credit me with the scoop. I guess blogs get no love from the Hank Shaw. Regardless, the article does tell us some important information about Ensign’s fundraising. To me, it portends a tough three-way primary.

The bit about Ensign that really adds to the debate is the following:

She had formed an "exploratory committee," but federal law only allows explorers to raise $10,000 before opening an official candidate's account or leaving the race. Ensign said Monday that she has raised almost $25,000.

Ensign announced the formation of her exploratory committee on November 17, and we can safely assume that she had significantly less than $10,000 at that time. After all, if she had almost $10,000, why announcing an exploratory committee right before it turns into a candidate committee?

(Well, a candidate might do something like that to milk the media, getting one round of stories with the announcement of an exploratory committee and one stories with the official candidacy announcement. However, Ensign didn’t go out of her way to tell anyone she had moved beyond the exploratory stage, so this is probably not a factor.)

In any event, we probably can safely assume she had some money in the bank from her early supporters, friends, and relatives. This means that she’s raised probably around $20,000 in three weeks. This puts her on track to raise about $30,000 in her first month. It’s a respectable rate of fundraising, but less than Filson was able to pull off in the first two months of his campaign. If she really kicks it into high gear before the FEC filings, however, we might see her surpassing McNerney.

If this happens, or even if she gets close, I think we’re in for a long, hard slog in the primary.

McNerney has a large base of supporters and with the endorsement of the SJC-C Labor Council he definitely has grassroots credibility. However, his fundraising is lagging (it’s always been one of his biggest weaknesses) and he’s probably only raised about $75,000-$80,000. This might change dramatically by the end of the year as PACs respond to his fundraising efforts. I think (or, I guess) we can expect, after the labor council’s endorsement, to see him bring in at least $10,000 and maybe as much as $20,000 in labor PAC money. At minimum he needs to break the $100,000 barrier, but if he does he’ll be able to placate his supporters with his progress, even if he doesn’t win any accolades from the peanut gallery.

Filson on the other hand is probably a fundraising machine. His fundraising is probably impressing a lot of outside observers who either don’t know or don’t care about the grassroots aspect. A lot of folks across the country are only concerned with fundraising, and in this Filson probably won’t disappoint. I could see him raising $25,000 at his big fundraiser tonight in Washington, and the money raised tonight could easily surpass that number. Since it’s hard to know who’s giving him money, it’s hard to guess how much he’s raised. Still, we can safely assume he’ll raise a substantial amount of money this quarter. We might even see him top $300,000. That said, with the expensive Bay Area and Sacramento markets, television is too expensive for him even if he has raised that much money. So I doubt television spots are option for him at this point. This means that his opponents will be able to afford the same methods of getting out their message as Filson. He can outspend them, but he’s not going to be the only voice people hear from in the primary. Especially since primary voters tend to be Democrats who are paying attention to political developments, I could see the grassroots support of Filson’s opponents doing a lot to dampen his ability to monopolize the anti-Pombo discourse.

So we can see why both Filson and McNerney would stay in the race. On the other hand, if Ensign surpasses McNerney she’s obviously going to feel like she has some serious momentum. Even if she raises over $70,000 she’ll be on pace to quickly eclipse McNerney’s fundraising so she’d probably be able to put a great spin on her numbers. Plus, she’ll be able to articulate a strong argument for why she should stay in the race. As Hank Shaw wrote today, “She [Ensign] is the only woman, the only Valley candidate and the only candidate with extensive international experience.” As long as she raises a sufficient amount of money, each of those factors is going to impress a segment of the Democratic primary voters. That said, anything less than $50,000 to 60,000 just won’t cut it.

All of this makes me think it’s likely that we’ll have three credible candidates come January 15, 2006. Without casting aspersions at any particular candidate, I think it’s unlikely that all three will feel comfortable enough in their own candidacies to play nice with their competitors. This makes me think that we should get ready for a bruising primary fight beginning in earnest early next year.

Matching Donation Offer

I just got an e-mail from a McNerney supporter whom I know. She has pledged to match all donations dollar for dollar (up to $1,000 total) that are made to McNerney through my ActBlue page between now and 12/29.

As far as I know this is not coordinated with the McNerney Campaign. Nor did I seek out anything like this out. Still, there’s really no way for me to stop her and since I think people should donate anyhow, I figured I’d post it.

If you want to donate to Jerry McNerney, go to this page and fill in the “contribute” box to the right of his picture and click on “submit itemized contribution.”

If you have any questions, e-mail me (subject line: “Matching Donation”) or post them in the comment section.

Margee Ensign Filed Her Papers

I just got confirmation from Margee Ensign (via e-mail) that she's officially a candidate in this race. This means that she's moved past the exploratory committee stage, and a good thing too given the time constraints that she faces. I don't have much to add at this point, but I do want to note that I've now added her to the ActBlue Page.

You can use the comment section as an open thread.

Odds and Ends

My girlfriend and I have company this weekend, so I might not be as responsive this weekend as I normally am. So before I get distracted, I would like to note a couple of different points that I might not be able to fully explore anytime soon.

• Pombo got a lot of bad press this week. The Duke Cunningham story certainly set off a lot of stories about the corrupt lobbyist Jack Abramoff that mentioned his ties to Pombo. But more importantly, the Cape Code Times did a series about a local Native American tribes’ effort to be recognized by the Federal government. (You can read them here, here, and here). It turns out that Pombo happened to get $40,000 worth of donations from this tribe and their lobbyists (including Abramoff) right before he did them some legislative favors. One of the articles carried the following in the sidebar, which is a pretty nice summary of what the fuss is about:
  
  

  - Jan. 22, 2003: Lobbyist Jack Abramoff donates $2,000.
  - Sept. 16, 2003: Wampanoag lobbyist Kevin Ring donates $1,000.
  - Sept. 21, 2003: Wampanoag leaders Glenn Marshall and Shawn Hendricks and four other tribe members donate $12,000.
  - Sept. 28, 2003: Herbert Strathers, a Detroit businessman with gambling interests and benefactor to the Wampanoag, donated $2,000.
  - Sept. 29, 2003: Abramoff donates $5,000 to Pombo‘s political action committee.
  - March 31, 2004: Marshall testifies before the House Resources Committee about the tribe‘s three-decade federal recognition battle.
  - September 2004: Pombo files bill that would fast-track federal recognition for tribes who submitted petitions prior to 1988.
  - Feburary 2005: Pombo refiles the bill.
  - July 24, 2005: The Bureau of Indian Affairs negotiates agreement with tribe to place it on the active consideration list and sets March 30, 2007 as decision deadline.
  Source: Center for Responsive Politics.
  
  

  Importantly, Nick Juliano in the Tracy Press picked up the story and devoted quite a bit of space to it.
  


• Margee Ensign responded to my post about outreach from candidates. She said she’d be happy to guest post something, but wouldn’t be able to do it until near the end of the year. It makes some sense that she’d have her events and raise the money she could before posting something. Hopefully she’ll have some positive developments to report within the next month or so.
  
  
• For those wondering, Scott Chacon wrote me back and confirmed that he was out of the race. He says he’s totally behind Ensign, but didn’t give any reason for why he decided to back her. For those who don’t know, Chacon was a McNerney supporter in 2004. I think he became disaffected by McNerney’s (or probably more accurately McNerney’s campaign manager’s) distrust of things like blogging. At least, that’s the impression I get from this post and from what I’ve heard through the grapevine. To be clear, McNerney seems to have changed directions and embraced blogging, as evidenced by his official campaign blog. In any event, I want to reiterate my earlier comment about Chacon: he’s a great asset to Ensign’s team.
  


• There are a couple of interesting angles on McNerney’s endorsement by the San Joaquin-Calaveras Central Labor Council that I haven’t written about. I’m going to put them here because they might be clues as to what will happen with the other labor councils in the district.
  
  First, apparently there was some discussion in the SJ-CLC about whether to postpone the endorsement meeting so that Ensign could come speak at it. However, the decision was made that she got into the race too late and so she wasn’t even invited. Ouch. Whether the other labor councils will take the same line is unknown. I can’t find out when they’re having their meetings so it’s unclear if she’ll have any time to get her campaign up and running before they make a decision. My guess (and it’s not informed at all by any evidence at this point) is that the longer they wait, the more pressure there’d be to invite Ensign to see if she has any momentum behind her.
  
  Second, a reader pointed out to me that a bio of Lisa Tucker, Filson’s campaign manager, which I linked to earlier, contained this gem: “Currently [4/8/05], Tucker provides strategic guidance and materials to I.B.E.W. Local #302 to capitalize on legislative and political opportunities to advance a legislative agenda and secure more local jobs for their members.” IBEW Local 302 is the Martinez, CA local. So this means that Tucker has some pre-existing relationships with a large, active union in Contra Costa County (one incidentally that includes the Chair of the Co Co County Democratic Central Committee as a member). This, plus Ellen Tauscher’s influence in Contra Costa County might mean that Filson has a leg up on the Contra Costa County Central Labor Council endorsement. Of course this is just speculation, but seemed interesting enough to merit space on the blog.




• We raised $220 from four sources through our ActBlue link just last week. If you haven't given money to oust Pombo yet, it's a great time to get involved. Register your disgust with Pombo and help us kick him out of Congress.
  
  

State of Dem Party in San Joaquin County

In recent posts in other threads, two opposing views for the state of Democratic Party in SJ Country have emerged:

Here is Matt:

One big reason [for McNerney's big loss in San Joaquin County] is the complete and utter lack of an effective Democratic Party infrastructure in the county. Margee Ensign said she was considering running in 2004 but there was nobody in SJC to help her. She wasn't kidding. The Democratic Party has consistently allowed the grassroots infrastructure to deteriorate in that area. Except for recent events, some of which were complete due to the McNerney Campaign of 2004, the Democratic Party has written SJC off.

(Note, I know that there are Democratic elected officials in SJC, but it's pretty clear that they're more interested in running their own machine than in building the party. This, at least, has been a common opinion voiced to me).

And here is Jesse:

Matt, I fundamentally disagree with your description of the San Joaquin County political infrastructure and the people that play a role in it. But I don't know that I care to respond to your generalizations and opinions about the motivations of people. I respect your right to hold these opinions.

But, I will make these comments about my perception of the Democratic party in San Joaquin County. I was raised in one of the poorest areas of Stockton. I've lived in the 11th Congressional District since I returned to the area in 1988. I have not been politically active in recent years for personal reasons. Over the years, however, I have been politically active in partisan and non-partisan races. I think that I know enough about the people in the Democratic party here to form an opinion and disagree with you.

Matt, I believe that any serious candidate would be able to mount a campaign in this District for any partisan or nonpartisan race.

So which is it? Is the Dem party in San Joaquin effective and organized or not? There is obviously some organization. There are currently 74,534 registered Democrats in the 11th District part of the county (versus 92,692 Republicans). The San Joaquin County Democratic Party lists nine local clubs. Two state legislative seats in the county are occupied by Democrats -- State Sen. Mike Machado and State Assemblywoman Barbara Matthews. Also, the 18th Congressional District, which includes part of SJ County, is represented by Democrat Dennis Cardoza.

But probably the Dem Party could grow over there and become more of an influence. The Dem voter registration has lagged in the county, with 4,000 new Dems versus 13,000 new Repubs since 2000. Maybe interest groups that would tend towards Democrats have not been approached -- student and youths, immigrants, labor, environmentalists, etc. Maybe Republicans have been more effective in the voter registration drives.

One glaring point is that there are 74,534 Dem voters in the county, but in the 2004 election, McNerney only got 47,515 votes in that county. Where were the other 25,000 voters? Pombo, by contrast, got 96,183 votes when there were only 92,692 registered Republicans.

That would seem to mean the party was not sufficiently organized and effective to bring the vote out for McNerney. Interestingly enough, Sen. Barbara Boxer, a Dem, won the county by 51%.

I don't know what to conclude from all that. I am putting up this thread not to state what I know, but more that I don't really know to what extent how organized and effective the Dem party is in SJ County. I hope some people can comment, and then offer suggestions for building the opposition to Pombo through the Dem Party there.

For example, I have received emails from people in the East Bay who want to head over to SJ and help the party organize, with voter registrations and tabling, etc. Is there an infrastructure that would welcome these volunteers and be able to put them to good use?

Off-topic: E-mail Virus Alert

This is a completely off-topic post, but there’s a big e-mail worm going around.  Read about it here.  I’ve been having problems with my e-mail.  Now I know why.  If you’ve tried to e-mail me and haven’t heard back from me yet, try sending me another e-mail to the hotmail account (subject line: “saynotopombo”) and CC it to saynotopombo@yahoogroups.com.

VPO on the Conventional Wisdom

VPO wrote one hell of a response in the comment section to my last entry. He attempts to weave together a number of different threads and explicitly present the conventional wisdom on why the DCCC is (and to some degree, why they ought to be) backing Filson over McNerney. He then raises a number of questions that problematizes this conventional wisdom.

I’m posting this here because it really nails some of these ideas down in a very clear and straightforward manner. Because of this, I want to make sure everyone sees it. I’m sure it will provide a benchmark of sorts for our future debates on the subject.

Please understand that following is somewhat de-contextualized, so read the comments to which he was responding if you have time. Also, when reading the following please keep in mind that VPO was not committing himself to sharing these lines of thought so much as articulating them for the sake of the debate. I am certainly not committed to the following reasoning either.

-Matt

Ok, just to finish this line of thinking out, the theory the DCCC seems to be operating on is:

The DCCC evaluates what is needed in the District, selects a man with centrist views and a military background (and rejects McNerney). Though the DCCC would prefer a candidate with political experience (say, Mike Machado), they take who they can get at the time, and decide to "make him a star."

The grassroots on the other hand tend to be passionate people with strong beliefs that are generally leftists in the Dem party. So therefore, the grassroots candidate is often too far to the left. Yes, he can motivate the determined activists -- the progressives and liberal wing of the party -- in ways a centrist cannot, but that does not necessarily translate to an election win.

So in this view, the DCCC is being a bit smarter as far as the election as a whole by finding someone middle of the road and thus more "electable". The idea is that as long as their candidate can present a reasonable message and attract centrist voters, perhaps even some Repub moderates, they feel they could have a winner.

The implication of this view is that grassroot activists and leftist/progressive candidates are marginal and not exactly unimportant, but just people you don't want to give much say in things. A progressive candidate is "unelectable" and would not play well in Washington anyway. The left wing will get behind the Dem candidate anyway, since the only other choice is Pombo.

In summary, the District is right-leaning, so the Dem candidate needs to be that way also.

I don't know whether all that is true or not, but I am trying to parse the DCCC reasoning on this and see if it makes sense on the ground.

It is very interesting to hear from Jesse, who is a moderate Dem, but sees McNerney as too liberal and far left. That is a very telling statement, and I am very glad Jesse has added this to the discussion. I wonder what aspects of McNerney's platform are too liberal and far left even for a Dem, and what Filson/DCCC's views are on those same issues that make him more appealing?

Also, my discussion above uses a lot of labels, like left, progressive, centrist. What exactly do these mean? The political discussions tend to fall into easy to use categories, but it seems the issues are so complex these days, the categories hardly fit.

So Filson is being called (or calling himself) "centrist" -- what exactly does this mean? It seems in this race the biggest point of differentiation between "left" and "centrist" is the views on the Iraqi war. "Centrist" says maybe it was a mistake, but we need to see it through. Filson says he is not anti-war, but "anti-failure".

McNerney on the other hand is calling for timetable for a withdrawal (and Ensign is still examining the issue, it seems, but she has been critical of Bush and the war in her Stockton Record columns).

Perhaps that is the biggest difference, and one the DCCC, it seems, thinks is critical to attracting the "moderate" voters.

There must be other issues where McNerney/grassroots are perceived as too far left, but Filson/DCCC are seen as more palatable to the voters of the district. Would those be gay rights, abortion, environment, energy development, poverty, transportation, healthcare -- any of these?

More on McNerney's Endorsements

I know this has been long in coming, but here are some additional thoughts about the endorsement of Jerry McNerney by the San Joaquin-Calaveras Central Labor Council. (Note, I referred to the group as the San Joaquin County Central Labor Council in my last post, but it appears that they include unions from Calaveras County, which is not part of the district). Hank Shaw from the Stockton Record picked up the story in today’s paper. He provides a quote that I think captures a dynamic in the primary battle:

Gene Davenport of the International Longshore & Warehouse Union Local 54 says his union and the San Joaquin-Calaveras Central Labor Council have endorsed McNerney instead of Filson.

"We were with McNerney in the last election," Davenport said. "We know what he stands for."

Davenport said he was upset the DCCC would arbitrarily anoint a candidate without discussing it with local labor groups first.

"They more or less said this is how it's going to be," he said. "I don't particularly like the way they think they can do business."

Here Davenport is voicing a concern shared by many Democratic activists, including many who are still neutral about the primary. I have heard many say that their main objection to Filson at this point is their feeling that he has been imposed on the district by Ellen Tauscher and the DCCC, who did not consult with local Democrats about Filson before they (Tauscher and the D-trip) decided to back him.

Note, this is a fairly non-ideological concern. In my experience, I’ve heard it voiced much more than ideological concerns about Filson. This is important because there seems to be an assumption that Democratic activists only will support a Barbara Lee of the Central Valley. Nothing could be further from the truth. Everyone wants to beat Pombo and everyone understands that the district leans Republican, which means that pragmatic concerns necessarily mitigate strongly against abstract desires for ideological purity.

Whatever you think about Filson’s chances against Pombo, it’s hard to argue that he should not have at least introduced himself to grassroots leaders before contacting the newspapers about his candidacy. And after it became apparent that this was a problem, there were probably better ways to deal with it than Filson employed. Certainly, you don’t win over any supporters by telling the people who’ve been working day in day out for months and years to build the Democratic Party that you deserve their support because you volunteered a couple of days for one candidate or another over the last decade.

But everyone would forgive Filson his missteps if he could unambiguously prove that he is the real deal. (Obviously, if he wins the primary the case will be closed on this count). Remember, Filson was supposed to be a good candidate partially because his union membership was thought to give him an in with Labor. Well McNerney’s recent endorsements (I notice the ILW Local 54 has also endorsed him) raise the possibility that Filson’s connection with Labor is more apparent than real. And Filson’s failure to deliver on this count raises the possibility that his other supposed strengths are more apparent than actual. Specifically, I think it’s an open question as to whether he would be able to attract the necessary support of moderates and Independents to win against Pombo in the general election. The only concrete attribute Filson has proved is his ability to raise money. That’s certainly a necessary attribute, but it’s not sufficient.